CLIMATE PROJECTIONS 

FOR 

THE STATE OF GEORGIA

The data in Table 1 and Table 2 below were extracted from the National Weather Service’s Climate Prediction Center.  Details on models, methods, and other relevant discussion can be found on their website.

Mean temperature is defined as the average between of maximum and minimum temperature.

The 50% confidence interval can best be described by an example. Suppose the mean temperature is 55.5, and the 50% confidence interval is 48.2 to 58.6. There would be a 50% probability the mean temperature will be in the range from 48.2 to 58.6. The best estimate within this range is the mean (55.5).

The Tables will be updated at the beginning of each month when these data become available from the Climate Prediction Center.

Table 1 Expected Temperature (Degrees F), and Precipitation (Inches) by Georgia Forestry Commission Districts for the period November, December of 2018 and January of 2019.

Temperature (November 2018 – January 2019)

GFCAreas

1,2,3,4,5

6W, 9W

6E, 7, 8 9E,10

Expected mean

47.63

52.91

54.71

Last 30 year mean

47.63

52.91

54.71

50% confidence interval

46.14-49.12

51.43-54.39

53.20-56.22

Summary

Climatology

Climatology

Climatology

 

Precipitation (November 2018– January 2019)

GFCAreas

1,2,3,4,5

6W, 9W

6E, 7, 8 9E,10

Expected median

12.73

15.83

11.08

Last 30 year median

12.37

14.64

9.93

50% confidence interval

10.55-15.05

12.98-18.98

8.78 -13.66

Summary

Above Normal

Above Normal

Above Normal

 

 

Table 2 Expected Temperature (Degrees F), and Precipitation (Inches) by Georgia Forestry Commission District for the Period February, March and April of 2019.

Temperature (February – April 2019)

GFCAreas

1,2,3,4,5

6W, 9W

6E, 7, 8 9E,10

Expected mean

54.48

59.13

60.31

Last 30 year mean

54.48

58.95

60.31

50% confidence interval

53.40-55.56

58.05 – 60.22

59.06-61.56

Summary

Climatology

Above Normal

Climatology

 

Precipitation (February – April 2019)

GFCAreas

1,2,3,4,5

6W, 9W

6E, 7, 8 9E,10

Expected median

13.02

16.01

12.43

Last 30 year median

12.60

14.79

11.21

50% confidence interval

11.05-15.11

13.29-18.90

10.17-14.83

Summary

Above Normal

Above Normal

Below Normal

 

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