CLIMATE PROJECTIONS 

FOR 

THE STATE OF GEORGIA

The data in Table 1 and Table 2 below were extracted from the National Weather Service’s Climate Prediction Center.  Details on models, methods, and other relevant discussion can be found on their website.

Mean temperature is defined as the average between of maximum and minimum temperature.

The 50% confidence interval can best be described by an example. Suppose the mean temperature is 55.5, and the 50% confidence interval is 48.2 to 58.6. There would be a 50% probability the mean temperature will be in the range from 48.2 to 58.6. The best estimate within this range is the mean (55.5).

The Tables will be updated at the beginning of each month when these data become available from the Climate Prediction Center.

Table 1 Expected Temperature (Degrees F), and Precipitation (Inches) by Georgia Forestry Commission Districts for the period April, May and June of 2017.

Temperature (April – June 2017)

Districts

1,3,4

2W

2E, 5, 6

Expected mean

69.93

73.15

73.72

Last 30 year mean

68.96

72.28

72.93

50% confidence interval

69.04-70.82

72.27-74.02

72.83-74.60

Summary

Above Normal

Above Normal

Above Normal

 

Precipitation (April – June 2017)

Districts

1,3,4

2W

2E, 5, 6

Expected median

11.17

14.14

11.10

Last 30 year median

11.17

13.95

11.10

50% confidence interval

9.01-13.49

10.92-17.75

8.87-13.54

Summary

Climatology

Above Normal

Climatology

 

 

Table 2 Expected Temperature (Degrees F), and Precipitation (Inches) by Georgia Forestry Commission District for the Period July, August and September of 2017.

Temperature (July – September 2017)

Districts

1,3,4

2W

2E, 5, 6

Expected mean

77.42

79.90

80.25

Last 30 year mean

76.94

79.35

79.81

50% confidence interval

76.66-78.18

79.28-80.53

79.69-80.81

Summary

Above Normal

Above Normal

Above Normal

 

Precipitation (July – September 2017)

Districts

1,3,4

2W

2E, 5, 6

Expected median

13.08

16.90

16.62

Last 30 year median

13.08

16.90

16.62

50% confidence interval

11.07-15.27

14.37-19.70

14.59-18.83

Summary

Climatology

Climatology

Climatology

 

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