CLIMATE PROJECTIONS 

FOR 

THE STATE OF GEORGIA

The data in Table 1 and Table 2 below were extracted from the National Weather Service’s Climate Prediction Center.  Details on models, methods, and other relevant discussion can be found on their website.

Mean temperature is defined as the average between of maximum and minimum temperature.

The 50% confidence interval can best be described by an example. Suppose the mean temperature is 55.5, and the 50% confidence interval is 48.2 to 58.6. There would be a 50% probability the mean temperature will be in the range from 48.2 to 58.6. The best estimate within this range is the mean (55.5).

The Tables will be updated at the beginning of each month when these data become available from the Climate Prediction Center.

Table 1 Expected Temperature (Degrees F), and Precipitation (Inches) by Georgia Forestry Commission Districts for the period June, July and August of 2017.

Temperature (June – August 2017)

Districts

1,3,4

2W

2E, 5, 6

Expected mean

78.68

80.77

81.12

Last 30 year mean

78.20

80.21

80.60

50% confidence interval

77.96-79.41

80.13-81.40

80.56-81.68

Summary

Above Normal

Above Normal

Above Normal

 

Precipitation (June – August 2017)

Districts

1,3,4

2W

2E, 5, 6

Expected median

12.63

18.76

17.67

Last 30 year median

12.63

18.76

17.67

50% confidence interval

10.28-15.33

15.70-22.18

15.50-19.90

Summary

Climatology

Climatology

Climatology

 

 

Table 2 Expected Temperature (Degrees F), and Precipitation (Inches) by Georgia Forestry Commission District for the Period September, October and November of 2017.

Temperature (September – November 2017)

Districts

1,3,4

2W

2E, 5, 6

Expected mean

63.34

67.88

69.26

Last 30 year mean

62.94

67.22

68.59

50% confidence interval

62.35-64.33

67.03-68.574

68.39-70.14

Summary

Above Normal

Above Normal

Above Normal

 

Precipitation (September – November 2017)

Districts

1,3,4

2W

2E, 5, 6

Expected median

11.61

14.54

11.49

Last 30 year median

10.80

13.10

10.55

50% confidence interval

9.01-14.64

11.32-18.19

9.23-14.02

Summary

Above Normal

Above Normal

Above Normal

 

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