CLIMATE PROJECTIONS

FOR 

THE STATE OF GEORGIA

The data in Table 1 and Table 2 below were extracted from the National Weather Service’s Climate Prediction Center.  Details on models, methods, and other relevant discussion can be found on their website.

Mean temperature is defined as the average between of maximum and minimum temperature.

The 50% confidence interval can best be described by an example. Suppose the mean temperature is 55.5, and the 50% confidence interval is 48.2 to 58.6. There would be a 50% probability the mean temperature will be in the range from 48.2 to 58.6. The best estimate within this range is the mean (55.5).

The Tables will be updated at the beginning of each month when these data become available from the Climate Prediction Center.

Table 1 Expected Temperature (Degrees F), and Precipitation (Inches) by Georgia Forestry Commission Districts for the period August, September and October of 2022.

Temperature (August – October 2022)

GFC Areas[DC1] 

1,2,3,4,5

6W, 9W

6E, 7, 8 9E,10

Expected mean

72.25

75.61

76.31

Last 30 year mean

71.70

75.14

75.85

50% confidence interval

71.22-73.27

74.80-76.42

75.55-77.06

Summary

Above Normal

Above Normal

Above Normal

 

Precipitation (August – October 2022)

GFC Areas

1,2,3,4,5

6W, 9W

6E, 7, 8 9E,10

Expected median

11.82

15.56

14.38

Last 30 year median

11.75

15.47

14.19

50% confidence interval

9.76-14.17

12.92-18.46

12.60-16.31

Summary

Normal

Above Normal

Above Normal

 

 

Table 2 Expected Temperature (Degrees F), and Precipitation (Inches) by Georgia Forestry Commission District for the Period November, December of 2022 and January of 2023.

Temperature (November 2022 – January 2023)

GFC Areas

1,2,3,4,5

6W, 9W

6E, 7, 8 9E,10

Expected mean

48.63

53.89

55.74

Last 30 year mean

48.10

53.25

55.14

50% confidence interval

47.11-50.15

52.42-55.35

54.26-57.22

Summary

Above Normal

Above Normal

Above Normal

 

Precipitation (November 2022 – January 2023)

GFC Areas

1,2,3,4,5

6W, 9W

6E, 7, 8 9E,10

Expected median

12.19

12.27

8.91

Last 30 year median

12.99

13.68

10.00

50% confidence interval

9.98-14.65

9.69-16.64

6.87-11.21

Summary

Below Normal

Below Normal

Below Normal

 

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