CLIMATE PROJECTIONS 

FOR 

THE STATE OF GEORGIA

The data in Table 1 and Table 2 below were extracted from the National Weather Service’s Climate Prediction Center.  Details on models, methods, and other relevant discussion can be found on their website.

Mean temperature is defined as the average between of maximum and minimum temperature.

The 50% confidence interval can best be described by an example. Suppose the mean temperature is 55.5, and the 50% confidence interval is 48.2 to 58.6. There would be a 50% probability the mean temperature will be in the range from 48.2 to 58.6. The best estimate within this range is the mean (55.5).

The Tables will be updated at the beginning of each month when these data become available from the Climate Prediction Center.

Table 1 Expected Temperature (Degrees F), and Precipitation (Inches) by Georgia Forestry Commission Districts for the period October, November and December of 2017.

Temperature (October – December 2017)

Districts

1,3,4

2W

2E, 5, 6

Expected mean

54.27

59.22

60.95

Last 30 year mean

53.97

58.86

60.60

50% confidence interval

52.96-55.58

56.07-60.36

59.78-62.11

Summary

Above Normal

Above Normal

Above Normal

 

Precipitation (October – December 2017)

Districts

1,3,4

2W

2E, 5, 6

Expected median

10.80

12.07

8.55

Last 30 year median

10.90

12.55

8.74

50% confidence interval

8.41-13.57

9.44-15.12

6.22-11.39

Summary

Below Normal

Below Normal

Below Normal

 

 

Table 2 Expected Temperature (Degrees F), and Precipitation (Inches) by Georgia Forestry Commission District for the Period January, February and March of 2018.

Temperature (January – March 2018)

Districts

1,3,4

2W

2E, 5, 6

Expected mean

48.91

54.14

55.76

Last 30 year mean

48.50

53.62

55.23

50% confidence interval

47.66-50.15

52.81-55.48

54.47-57.05

Summary

Above Normal

Above Normal

Above Normal

 

Precipitation (January – March 2018)

Districts

1,3,4

2W

2E, 5, 6

Expected median

13.31

15.04

11.36

Last 30 year median

13.77

16.20

12.70

50% confidence interval

11.55-15.12

12.38-17.82

9.02-14.02

Summary

Below Normal

Below Normal

Below Normal

 

Back to Fire Weather Home

Back to Georgia Forestry Commission Home