CLIMATE PROJECTIONS 

FOR 

THE STATE OF GEORGIA

The data in Table 1 and Table 2 below were extracted from the National Weather Service’s Climate Prediction Center.  Details on models, methods, and other relevant discussion can be found on their website.

Mean temperature is defined as the average between of maximum and minimum temperature.

The 50% confidence interval can best be described by an example. Suppose the mean temperature is 55.5, and the 50% confidence interval is 48.2 to 58.6. There would be a 50% probability the mean temperature will be in the range from 48.2 to 58.6. The best estimate within this range is the mean (55.5).

The Tables will be updated at the beginning of each month when these data become available from the Climate Prediction Center.

Table 1 Expected Temperature (Degrees F), and Precipitation (Inches) by Georgia Forestry Commission Districts for the period October, November and December of 2021.

Temperature (October – December 2021)

GFC Areas[DC1] 

1,2,3,4,5

6W, 9W

6E, 7, 8 9E,10

Expected mean

54.87

59.60

61.40

Last 30 year mean

54.38

59.19

61.00

50% confidence interval

53.62-56.11

58.45-60.74

60.18-62.61

Summary

Above Normal

Above Normal

Above Normal

 

Precipitation (October – December 2021)

GFC Areas[DC2] 

1,2,3,4,5

6W, 9W

6E, 7, 8 9E,10

Expected median

11.23

12.24

8.57

Last 30 year median

11.30

12.55

8.75

50% confidence interval

8.56-14.46

9.53-15.32

6.34-11.24

Summary

Normal

Below Normal

Below Normal

 

 

Table 2 Expected Temperature (Degrees F), and Precipitation (Inches) by Georgia Forestry Commission District for the Period January, February and March of 2022.

Temperature (January – March 2022)

GFC Areas[DC3] 

1,2,3,4,5

6W, 9W

6E, 7, 8 9E,10

Expected mean

50.27

55.78

57.14

Last 30 year mean

49.06

54.32

55.8.

50% confidence interval

48.82-51.72

54.25-57.32

55.86-58.43

Summary

Above Normal

Above Normal

Above Normal

 

Precipitation (January – March 2022)

GFC Areas[DC4] 

1,2,3,4,5

6W, 9W

6E, 7, 8 9E,10

Expected median

13.88

14.79

11.24

Last 30 year median

14.06

15.13

12.09

50% confidence interval

12.06-15.83

12.37-17.42

9.31-13.43

Summary

Normal

Below Normal

Below Normal

 

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