CLIMATE PROJECTIONS

FOR 

THE STATE OF GEORGIA

The data in Table 1 and Table 2 below were extracted from the National Weather Service’s Climate Prediction Center.  Details on models, methods, and other relevant discussion can be found on their website.

Mean temperature is defined as the average between of maximum and minimum temperature.

The 50% confidence interval can best be described by an example. Suppose the mean temperature is 55.5, and the 50% confidence interval is 48.2 to 58.6. There would be a 50% probability the mean temperature will be in the range from 48.2 to 58.6. The best estimate within this range is the mean (55.5).

The Tables will be updated at the beginning of each month when these data become available from the Climate Prediction Center.

Table 1 Expected Temperature (Degrees F), and Precipitation (Inches) by Georgia Forestry Commission Districts for the period August, September and October of 2020.

Temperature (August – October 2020)

GFC Areas[DC1] 

1,2,3,4,5

6W, 9W

6E, 7, 8 9E,10

Expected mean

71.65

75.20

75.97

Last 30 year mean

71.21

74.61

75.44

50% confidence interval

70.81-72.50

74.48-75.91

75.29-76.65

Summary

Above Normal

Above Normal

Above Normal

 

Precipitation (August – October 2020)

GFC Areas

1,2,3,4,5

6W, 9W

6E, 7, 8 9E,10

Expected median

12.68

15.38

15.56

Last 30 year median

11.58

14.15

14.33

50% confidence interval

10.39-15.29

12.87-18.07

13.25-18.11

Summary

Above Normal

Above Normal

Above Normal

 

 

Table 2 Expected Temperature (Degrees F), and Precipitation (Inches) by Georgia Forestry Commission District for the Period November, December of 2020 and January of 2021.

Temperature (November 2020 – January 2021)

GFC Areas

1,2,3,4,5

6W, 9W

6E, 7, 8 9E,10

Expected mean

48.02

53.49

55.11

Last 30 year mean

47.63

52.91

54.71

50% confidence interval

46.69-49.35

52.16-54.81

53.77-56.45

Summary

Above Normal

Above Normal

Above Normal

 

Precipitation (November 2020 – January 2021)

GFC Areas

1,2,3,4,5

6W, 9W

6E, 7, 8 9E,10

Expected median

12.37

13.70

9.68

Last 30 year median

12.37

14.64

9.93

50% confidence interval

10.18-14.70

11.07-16.64

7.56-12.08

Summary

Climatology

Below Normal

Below Normal

 

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