CLIMATE PROJECTIONS 

FOR 

THE STATE OF GEORGIA

The data in Table 1 and Table 2 below were extracted from the National Weather Service’s Climate Prediction Center.  Details on models, methods, and other relevant discussion can be found on their website.

Mean temperature is defined as the average between of maximum and minimum temperature.

The 50% confidence interval can best be described by an example. Suppose the mean temperature is 55.5, and the 50% confidence interval is 48.2 to 58.6. There would be a 50% probability the mean temperature will be in the range from 48.2 to 58.6. The best estimate within this range is the mean (55.5).

The Tables will be updated at the beginning of each month when these data become available from the Climate Prediction Center.

Table 1 Expected Temperature (Degrees F), and Precipitation (Inches) by Georgia Forestry Commission Districts for the period December of 2017, January of 2018 and February of 2018.

Temperature (December 2017 – February 2018)

Districts

1,3,4

2W

2E, 5, 6

Expected mean

46.00

51.73

53.37

Last 30 year mean

45.57

51.04

52.80

50% confidence interval

44.71-47.29

50.57-52.90

52.22-54.53

Summary

Above Normal

Above Normal

Above Normal

 

Precipitation (December 2017– February 2018)

Districts

1,3,4

2W

2E, 5, 6

Expected median

12.42

12.62

8.74

Last 30 year median

13.13

15.04

11.09

50% confidence interval

10.29-14.63

9.85-15.59

6.33-11.35

Summary

Below Normal

Below Normal

Below Normal

 

 

Table 2 Expected Temperature (Degrees F), and Precipitation (Inches) by Georgia Forestry Commission District for the Period March, April and May of 2018.

Temperature (March – May 2018)

Districts

1,3,4

2W

2E, 5, 6

Expected mean

62.00

66.08

67.01

Last 30 year mean

61.61

65.60

66.56

50% confidence interval

61.13-62.88

65.19-66.97

66.13-67.89

Summary

Above Normal

Above Normal

Above Normal

 

Precipitation (March – May 2018)

Districts

1,3,4

2W

2E, 5, 6

Expected median

11.57

12.64

9.35

Last 30 year median

11.57

13.93

10.05

50% confidence interval

9.12-14.13

9.76-15.99

6.66-12.28

Summary

Climatology

Below Normal

Below Normal

 

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