CLIMATE PROJECTIONS

FOR 

THE STATE OF GEORGIA

The data in Table 1 and Table 2 below were extracted from the National Weather Service’s Climate Prediction Center.  Details on models, methods, and other relevant discussion can be found on their website.

Mean temperature is defined as the average between of maximum and minimum temperature.

The 50% confidence interval can best be described by an example. Suppose the mean temperature is 55.5, and the 50% confidence interval is 48.2 to 58.6. There would be a 50% probability the mean temperature will be in the range from 48.2 to 58.6. The best estimate within this range is the mean (55.5).

The Tables will be updated at the beginning of each month when these data become available from the Climate Prediction Center.

Table 1 Expected Temperature (Degrees F), and Precipitation (Inches) by Georgia Forestry Commission Districts for the period September, October and November of 2023.

Temperature (September – November 2023)

GFCAreas

1,2,3,4,5

6W, 9W

6E, 7, 8 9E,10

Expected mean

63.40

67.97

69.14

Last 30 year mean

63.21

67.48

68.80

50% confidence interval

62.35-64.44

66.95-68.75

68.26-70.01

Summary

Above Normal

Above Normal

Above Normal

 

Precipitation (September – November 2023)

GFC Areas

1,2,3,4,5

6W, 9W

6E, 7, 8 9E,10

Expected median

11.96

13.15

10.99

Last 30 year median

10.94

12.91

10.48

50% confidence interval

9.15-15.15

10.27-16.31

8.77-13.53

Summary

Above Normal

Above Normal

Above Normal

 

 

Table 2 Expected Temperature (Degrees F), and Precipitation (Inches) by Georgia Forestry Commission District for the Period December of 2023,  January of 2024 and February 2024.

Temperature (December 2023 – February 2024)

GFC Areas

1,2,3,4,5

6W, 9W

6E, 7, 8 9E,10

Expected mean

46.38

51.83

53.60

Last 30 year mean

46.38

51.83

53.60

50% confidence interval

44.67-48.09

50.10-53.56

51.95-55.25

Summary

Climatology

 Climatology

Climatology

 

Precipitation (December 2023 – February 2024)

GFC Areas

1,2,3,4,5

6W, 9W

6E, 7, 8 9E,10

Expected median

15.03

18.05

13.63

Last 30 year median

13.53

15.25

11.24

50% confidence interval

12.82-17.38

15.24-20.97

11.26-16.07

Summary

Above Normal

Above Normal

Above Normal

 

Back to Fire Weather Home

Back to Georgia Forestry Commission Home