NFDRS Indices Interpretation

 

The following is a brief explanation of the National Fire Danger Rating (NFDRS) indices as used by Georgia Forestry Commission (Table 1).  For more details, please refer to the materials in the references.

 

Table 1: NFDRS for Dallas, Ga on Oct 23, 2002

Dallas, Ga

NFDRS-88 1300 EST Oct 23 2002

RH (%)

IC

BI

Class Day

KBDI

Wind (mph)

Mx_Wind
(mph)

Rn24
(inch)

Dur
(Hr)

82

0

1

1 Low

161

NW 2

NW 5

0.00

0

Sow

Temp (°F)

Td (°F)

Tmax (°F)

Tmin (°F)

RHMax (%)

RHMin (%)

HrbGF

WdyGF

3

62

56

71

56

97

61

7

7

1-Hour

10-Hour

100-Hour

1000-Hour

X1000

Herbaceous

Woody

SC

EC

18.1

18.1

20.0

26.6

22.1

60.7

120.4

0

1

 

RH(%): Relative Humidity in percent

 

IC: The Ignition Component (IC) is an index within 1988 National Fire Danger Rating System.  IC relates the probability that a fire that requires suppression action will result if a firebrand is introduced into a fine fuel complex.  Theoretically, on a day when the ignition component registers a 60, approximately 60% of all fire brands that come into contact with wildland fuels will require suppression action.

 

BI: Dividing Burning Index (BI) by 10 gives a reasonable estimate of flame length in feet at the head of a fire.  Burning Index is fuel model dependent.  In Georgia Forestry Commission, this is the basis for Class Day.  Byram (1959) developed an equation to relate flame length and fireline intensity, FL=0.45(I)0.46  where FL is flame length in feet and I is fireline intensity in BTU per second per feet.  Table 2 (Deeming, 1977) can be used as a guide to relate Burning Index and fire behavior

 

Table 2: Fire behavior, Controllability and Fireline Intensity Table

Burning Index

Fireline Intensity

(BTU/s/ft)

Flame Length (ft)

Narrative

0-28

0-50

2.8

Most prescribed burns are conducted in this range

38

100

3.8

Generally represents the limit of control for manual attack methods

78

500

7.8

The prospects for direct control by any means are poor above this intensity

92

700

9.2

The heat load on people within 30 ft of the fire is dangerous

108

1000

10.8

Above this intensity, spotting, fire whirls, and crowning should be expected

 

 

Class Day: Class day describes the potential for wildland fires.  Georgia Forestry Commission uses Table 3 as the determination percentile for all the class day.  Since BI is fuel model dependent, different BI determination points are arrived. 

 

Table 3: Class Day determination points

Class

Description

BI Percentiles

Fuel Model C

Fuel Model D

Fuel Model E (Dallas)

Fuel Model E (Chatsworth)

Fuel Model R

5

Extreme

97th

21+

90+

31+

41+

22+

4

Very High

90th to 97th

18-20

76-89

27-30

37-40

19-21

3+

High to Very High

81st to 90th

15-17

65-75

24-26

33-36

16-18

3

High

61st to 80th

11-14

52-64

20-23

28-32

11-15

3-

Low to Moderate

46th to 60th

8-10

44-51

16-19

24-27

6-10

2

Moderate

21st to 45th

2-7

13-43

10-15

15-23

1-5

1

Low

0th to 20th

0-1

12 or less

0-9

0-14

0

 

 

KBDI: Keetch-Byram Drough Index (KBDI) measures moisture in deep duffs or upper soil layers.  The relative dryness of soil is important in fire suppression.  KBDI varies from 0 (Wet) to 800 (Dry).

 

Wind (mph): 10-minute averaged wind speed in mile per hour measured at 20 feet and wind direction in 8-point compass, i.e. N, NE, E, SE, S, SW, W, NW and calm.

 

Mx_Wind(mph): Wind gust in mile per hour measured at 20 feet and wind direction in 8-point compass, i.e. N, NE, E, SE, S, SW, W, NW and calm.  Mx_Wind has to be at least as strong as Wind and they should be in the same direction.

 

Rn24(inch): Rainfall amount  in the last 24 hours in inches.

 

Dur(Hr):  Duration of rainfall in hours if there is any.

 

Sow: State of weather

                        Table 4: Code for State of weather

Code

Description

0

Clear, less than 1/10 cloud cover

1

Scattered clouds, 1/10-5/10 cloud cover

2

Broken clouds, 6/10-9/10 cloud cover

3

Overcast, 10/10 cloud cover

4

Fog

5

Drizzle

6

Rain

7

Snow or Sleet

8

Showers

9

Thunderstorms

 

Temp(°F): Temperature in Fahrenheit

 

Td(°F): Dew point temperature in Fahrenheit

 

Tmax(°F): Maximum temperature in the last 24 hours in Fahrenheit

 

Tmin(°F): Minimum temperature in the last 24 hours in Fahrenheit

 

RHMax(%): Maximum relative humidity in the last 24 hours in percent

 

RHMin(%): Minimum relative humidity in the last 24 hours in percent

 

HrbGF: Herbaceous greenup factor (HrbGF) expresses the actual greening and curing of live herbaceous vegetation.  HrbGF varies from 0 (completely cured) to 20 (completely green). 

 

In Georgia Forestry Commission, we changed greenup factors automatically by the time of the year and KBDI.  In winter, greenup factor is set to 0.  In summer, greenup factor is set to 20.  In between, greenup factor is moved up or down 3-4 points every 30 days or so.  In order to account for dry periods, drought adjusted greenup factor based on KBDI is adopted from Burgan (1988) (Table 5).  If greenup factor at the time of the year exceeds the drought adjusted greenup factor, greenup factor will be reduced to the drought adjusted greenup factor.  If not, green up factors are used as is.   For example, if KBDI is 395 in summer when greenup factor should be 20, the greenup factor will adjusted to 10 due to drought. If KBDI is 395 in winter when green up factor is 0, the greenup factor will still stay at 0. 

 

Table 5. Drought Adjusted greenup factor based on KBDI

KBDI

Drought Adjusted Greenup Factor

KBDI

Drought Adjusted Greenup Factor

0-200

20

401-420

9

201-220

19

421-440

8

221-240

18

441-460

7

241-260

17

461-480

6

261-280

16

481-500

5

281-300

15

501-520

4

301-320

14

521-540

3

321-340

13

541-560

2

341-360

12

561-580

1

361-380

11

581+

0

381-400

10

 

 

 

WdyGF: Woody greenup factor (WdyGF) expresses the actual greening and curing of live woody vegetation.  WdyGF varies from 0 (completely cured) to 20 (completely green).  Please refer to HrbGF for details.

 

1-Hour/10-Hour/100-Hour/1000-Hour: Dead fuel moisture content in fuel that takes 1 hour/10 hours/100 hour/1000 hour to lose or gain 63% of the difference between the dead fuel itself and the surrounding atmosphere.  Fuel moisture percent is computed by dividing the weight of "water" in the fuel by the oven-dried weight of the fuel and then, multiplying by 100 to get to percent. Gerogia Forestry Commission sets 1-hour to be the same as 10-hour. 10-hour dead fuel moisture is measured using an electronic fuel stick manufactured by Forestry Technology System. 100-hour and 1000-hour dead fuel moisture are calculated

 

X1000: Predictor value for 1000-Hour

 

Herbaceous:  Fuel moisture in live herbaceous vegetation.  Please refer to "1-Hour" on fuel moisture computation. This value is calculated in our system. 

 

Woody: Fuel moisture in live woody vegetation.  Please refer to "1-Hour" on fuel moisture computation. This value is calculated in our system. 

 

SC: Spread Component (SC) is the forward rate of spread at the head of the fire in feet per minute.  Since 1 chain=66 feet and there are 60 minutes in an hour, so 1 feet per minute is 0.9 chain per hour.  Thus, multiply the value of SC by 0.9 gives the spread rate in chain per hour. 

 

EC: Energy Release Component (EC) is the potential available energy per square foot at the head of the fire in BTUs per square foot.

 

References:

Introduction to Nation Fire Danger Rating System from Seattle NWS

Weather Information Management System (WIMS) user's manual

Remsoft FireWeatherPro user's manual

Bradshaw, Larry S.; Deeming, John E.;Burgan, Robert E.;Cohen, Jack D., compilers.  The 1978 National Fire-Danger Rating System;technical documentation.  General Technical Report INT-169.  Ogden, UT: US Department of Agriculture, Forest Service, Intermountain Forest and Range Experiment Station; 1984. 44pp.

 

Burgan, Robert E.; 1988 Revisions to the 1978 National Fire-Danger Rating System.  Res. Pap. SE-273.  Asheville, NC: US Department of Agriculture, Forest, Service, Southeastern Forest Experiment Station; 1988. 39pp.

 

Byram, George M. Combustion of forest fuels.  In: Forest fire control and use. 2nd ed. New  York: McGraw-Hill Book Co.; 1959.175p.

 

Deeming, John E.; Burgan, Robert E.; Cohen, Jack D. The National Fire-Danger Rating System – 1978. 1988 Revisions to the 1978 National Fire-Danger Rating System.  General Technical Report INT-39.  Ogden, UT: US Department of Agriculture, Forest Service, Intermountain Forest and Range Experiment Station; 1977. 63pp..