FXUS64 KMAF 122332
AFDMAF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
532 PM CST Fri Dec 12 2025

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 531 PM CST Fri Dec 12 2025

- Above normal temperatures are expected through Saturday before
  a stronger cold front (briefly) brings much cooler temperatures
  on Sunday.

- Dry conditions persist through the next several days.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(This afternoon through Saturday night)
Issued at 1249 PM CST Fri Dec 12 2025

A weak cold front has pretty much cleared our region. Winds may be
breezy and have a northerly component, but you wouldn't otherwise
notice the front given temperatures ranging in the 60s and 70s. Lows
tonight dip into the 30s and 40s. Temperatures rebound into the 70s
Saturday as an upper ridge's axis moves closer from our west and lee
troughing turns winds back out of the west/southwest. The warmth
comes to an end as an upper low just north of the Great Lakes helps
usher Arctic air down into the southern states. A cold front looks
to push in Saturday evening through early Sunday morning. With the
front, northeasterly winds become breezy, with stronger winds
expected in the gaps of the Guadalupe Mountains. Winds could reach
high wind criteria for a brief moment, but confidence in exact speed
and duration of winds remains too low to issue a High Wind Warning
at this time. Sunday morning, temperatures are forecast to chill
into the upper 20s across some of our northern counties, 30s for
most everyone else, and 40s in our southernmost counties.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Sunday through Thursday)
Issued at 1249 PM CST Fri Dec 12 2025

Cold temperatures kick off the long term period, thanks to strong
cold air advection and broken to overcast skies behind the front
Sunday afternoon. Breezy to gusty (15-25 mph sustained with gusts up
to 30-35 mph) northeasterly winds are anticipated across the area
Sunday morning. Highs are expected to span in the 40s to low 50s for
most locations, while low temperatures Monday morning are forecast
to reach the upper 20s to upper 30s. The cold weather does not last
long as the upper-level ridge axis builds over the region
beginning early next week with temperatures rebounding in the
upper 50s to 70s. Both Monday and Tuesday looks to have breezy
winds as lee troughing sets up to our west, while a surface high
will be off to the east. Heading into the middle and latter half
of next week, cluster analysis hints at consistent quasi zonal
flow aloft promoting warm downsloping winds. This is going to keep
the region warm and dry for the foreseeable future.

Lamberson

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 531 PM CST Fri Dec 12 2025

VFR continues at all terminals. Winds become variable overnight
before shifting to the south and southwest tomorrow morning.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Big Spring               36  73  32  43 /   0   0   0   0
Carlsbad                 37  76  36  48 /   0   0   0   0
Dryden                   43  76  45  54 /   0   0   0  10
Fort Stockton            40  76  39  46 /   0   0   0  10
Guadalupe Pass           42  66  36  44 /   0   0   0   0
Hobbs                    35  73  30  46 /   0   0   0   0
Marfa                    32  72  33  52 /   0   0   0  10
Midland Intl Airport     37  71  34  44 /   0   0   0   0
Odessa                   38  71  35  44 /   0   0   0   0
Wink                     36  74  36  44 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...None.
NM...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...95
LONG TERM....11
AVIATION...93