FXUS64 KMEG 080806 AFDMEG Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Memphis TN 306 AM CDT Sun Sep 8 2024 ...New SYNOPSIS, DISCUSSION... .SYNOPSIS... Issued at 300 AM CDT Sun Sep 8 2024 Fall-like temperatures will finish out the weekend as high pressure continues to dominate the weather pattern. Calm and dry conditions will also remain across the Mid- South through at least Tuesday. Temperatures will begin to warm back into the mid 80s to lower 90s on Monday through mid-week. Rain chances will increase in the latter part of the week as a potential tropical disturbance builds over the Gulf of Mexico. && .DISCUSSION... (Today through Saturday) Issued at 300 AM CDT Sun Sep 8 2024 A beautiful clear night is upon us at this hour as current temperatures are in the lower 50s to lower 60s with slightly moderate northeast winds at the surface. Continued clear skies will result in this morning's low temperatures in the upper 40s to lower 50s. A cool and dry airmass will remain fixed over the region through tomorrow morning. As a result, below normal temperatures will reside over the region through Monday morning. Today's highs will be in the upper 70s to lower 80s and tomorrow morning's lows will be in the upper 40s to mid 50s. Don't forget to grab a jacket when heading out the door today and tomorrow. Surface high pressure and upper- level ridging will continue building over the Mid-South leading to benign weather through at least Wednesday afternoon. As quasi- zonal flow begins to build over the area late tomorrow morning, temperatures will begin to warm with highs into the mid 80s to lower 90s tomorrow through mid-week. The main weather story over the next 7 days is the potential tropical disturbance that looks move into the western Gulf of Mexico track north into the Lower Mississippi valley through late week. Though we are still several days out with such, much can change, precipitation chances continue to increase Thursday morning through Friday with 40-60 PoPs. Timing, intensity, and placement of where this potential system sets up will impact QPF amounts and temperatures late next week. Current forecast QPF amounts range between 2-6", greatest amounts over the Mississippi Delta region. Forecast temperatures late next week are in the upper 70s to lower 80s. AEH && .AVIATION... (06Z TAFS) Issued at 1044 PM CDT Sat Sep 7 2024 VFR. Light NE winds overnight will increase to around 10 kts by mid morning Sunday with a few higher gusts. Winds will diminish around sunset. && .MEG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... AR...None. MO...None. MS...None. TN...None. && $$ PUBLIC FORECAST...AEH AVIATION...SJM