FXUS64 KMEG 111709

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Memphis TN
1109 AM CST Mon Dec 11 2023

...New AVIATION...

Issued at 303 AM CST Mon Dec 11 2023

Benign weather is expected for the next 7 days. Temperatures will be
seasonable with highs in the 50s and lows in the 30s.


(Today through Sunday)
Issued at 303 AM CST Mon Dec 11 2023

Surface high pressure enhanced radiational cooling
allowing overnight lows to dip into the low 20s as of 3 AM. This
surface high will continue to push east across the region today.
Southerly flow will return to the surface and WAA will begin to
filtrate the region. Zonal flow aloft will allow the high pressure
to be east of the Mid-South by tomorrow morning.

Return flow will allow for high temperatures to slowly rise (roughly
1-3 degrees) each day aided by weak upper level ridging. High
temperatures this week will generally stay in the 50s, but some
areas could reach the low 60s. Overnight lows will continue to be
seasonable in the 30s to low 40s.

Benign weather is expected for the Mid-South through the forecast
period. Long term models are indicating a low pressure system to
near the Gulf Coast late next weekend. Our southern tier of counties
in North Mississippi could see a few showers, but current QPF values
suggest negligible amounts.

As temperatures will slowly climb each day, CPC Outlooks indicate
this trend to continue as the 8-14 day outlook encompasses the Mid-
South in the 50-70% for above normal temperatures.



(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1107 AM CST Mon Dec 11 2023

VFR conditions with light south winds are expected for the entire
forecast period.