FXUS64 KOHX 061721 AFDOHX Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Nashville TN 1121 AM CST Fri Nov 6 2026 ...New AVIATION... .KEY MESSAGES... Updated at 1112 AM CST Fri Nov 6 2026 - Cooler temperatures this weekend. Overnight lows in the upper 20s and low 30s are expected Saturday and Sunday nights. - Mostly dry conditions for the next several days with only low rain chances late next week. - While recent rains will put a pause on worsening drought conditions, severe to extreme drought continues across much of Middle TN. && .SHORT TERM... (Rest of today through Saturday) Issued at 1044 AM CST Fri Nov 6 2026 Lower clouds are streaming in from the north on satellite this morning, as the reinforcing cold front that entered the mid-state begins to exit into east Tennessee. Highs today will be in the 60s as that colder and drier air mass settles in, with frosty and freezing conditions expected tonight. Lows will be in the 30s across the area, for the first time this season for many areas. Saying this because if you have any precautions you need to take, make sure you get them done before tonight. Saturday will be another cooler autumn day, with lows in the 50s. Skies will initially be clear in the morning, as surface high pressure continues to hang out in the Ohio River Valley. We will see some partly cloudy conditions creep in in the afternoon and evening, but no rain expected. Lows into Sunday morning will crash into the low 30s, with some areas in the upper 20s being possible. && .LONG TERM... (Saturday Night through next Friday) Issued at 1044 AM CST Fri Nov 6 2026 A complicated pattern aloft will evolve into next work week, as an UL trough forms in the SW and treks across the south into mid-week. It is a complex pattern with not a lot of model agreement currently, but we could get some rain out of it. We will see some warming into the upper 60s to low 70s for highs before this occurs, with lows remaining cold in the 30s and 40s. Models suggest another cold push into the end of the week next week, continuing the fall temperatures and dropping them back into the 50s and 60s for highs with freezing morning lows. && .AVIATION... (18Z TAFS) Issued at 1112 AM CST Fri Nov 6 2026 A reinforcing cold front is bringing widespread MVFR cigs across all of Middle TN today. Improvement to VFR will gradually occur from west to east this afternoon for CKV, BNA, and MQY. A bit more uncertain for SRB and CSV with lower confidence in clouds clearing out. Brief gusts to 20 kts will occur upon frontal passage and winds will shift northerly sustained between 5-10 kts through the remainder of the period. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Nashville 63 37 59 34 / 0 0 0 0 Clarksville 62 34 59 31 / 0 0 0 0 Crossville 61 32 55 29 / 0 0 0 0 Columbia 64 34 59 30 / 0 0 0 0 Cookeville 61 36 56 31 / 0 0 0 0 Jamestown 61 36 55 31 / 0 0 0 0 Lawrenceburg 64 34 58 30 / 0 0 0 0 Murfreesboro 64 35 60 31 / 0 0 0 0 Waverly 62 36 58 33 / 0 0 0 0 && .OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && $$ SHORT TERM...Holley LONG TERM....Holley AVIATION.....Baggett