FXUS63 KPAH 111700 AFDPAH Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Paducah KY 1100 AM CST Mon Dec 11 2023 .KEY MESSAGES... - Tranquil weather will prevail this week as temperatures warm from near to slightly above seasonal norms. - The next opportunity for rain holds off until the weekend, but it's so small that it's not even included in the forecast at this time. && .UPDATE... Issued at 535 AM CST Mon Dec 11 2023 Updated aviation discussion for 12Z TAFs. && .DISCUSSION... Issued at 235 AM CST Mon Dec 11 2023 A quiet weather pattern is forecast to prevail this week as high pressure generally reigns supreme. Initially, temperatures will remain rather chilly today with northwest flow still in place. However, that flow pattern should flatten by Tuesday as surface winds briefly turn southerly. This will allow for a moderation in temperatures to slightly above normal Tuesday through the remainder of the week. As the week progresses, an upper level ridge will build into the Mississippi Valley as an upper low digs into the Great Basin and slowly migrates east into the southern Plains by week's end. At the same time, another low is forecast to move across the Upper Midwest and into the Great Lakes and/or Ohio Valley over the weekend. This split flow pattern makes for a lower confidence forecast by the weekend. At this time, the forecast is largely dry with rain projected to miss the area to the north and south. However, this is subject to change as the week progresses and models come into better alignment with time. && .AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z TUESDAY/... Issued at 1056 AM CST Mon Dec 11 2023 SKC conditions have returned throughout this morning. With no appreciable cloud cover or visibility drops through the next day, VFR conditions are expected to prevail through at least 18z tomorrow at all terminals. && .PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... IL...None. MO...None. IN...None. KY...None. && $$ UPDATE...RJP DISCUSSION...RJP AVIATION...SHAWKEY/JAB