FXUS63 KPAH 111700

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Paducah KY
1100 AM CST Mon Dec 11 2023


- Tranquil weather will prevail this week as temperatures warm
  from near to slightly above seasonal norms.

- The next opportunity for rain holds off until the weekend, but
  it's so small that it's not even included in the forecast at
  this time.


Issued at 535 AM CST Mon Dec 11 2023

Updated aviation discussion for 12Z TAFs.


Issued at 235 AM CST Mon Dec 11 2023

A quiet weather pattern is forecast to prevail this week as high
pressure generally reigns supreme. Initially, temperatures will
remain rather chilly today with northwest flow still in place.
However, that flow pattern should flatten by Tuesday as surface
winds briefly turn southerly. This will allow for a moderation
in temperatures to slightly above normal Tuesday through the
remainder of the week.

As the week progresses, an upper level ridge will build into the
Mississippi Valley as an upper low digs into the Great Basin and
slowly migrates east into the southern Plains by week's end. At
the same time, another low is forecast to move across the Upper
Midwest and into the Great Lakes and/or Ohio Valley over the
weekend. This split flow pattern makes for a lower confidence
forecast by the weekend. At this time, the forecast is largely
dry with rain projected to miss the area to the north and south.
However, this is subject to change as the week progresses and
models come into better alignment with time.


Issued at 1056 AM CST Mon Dec 11 2023

SKC conditions have returned throughout this morning. With no
appreciable cloud cover or visibility drops through the next
day, VFR conditions are expected to prevail through at least
18z tomorrow at all terminals.