FXUS63 KPAH 250724 AFDPAH Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Paducah KY 224 AM CDT Fri Oct 25 2024 .KEY MESSAGES... - Near record high temperatures are forecast today, but a cold front will push into the region late in the day, bringing a small chance of light rain. - Dry and seasonably cool temperatures are forecast this weekend as high pressure shifts southward into the region. - A return of well above normal temperatures as well as breezy southerly winds is expected to open the work week. && .DISCUSSION... Issued at 222 AM CDT Fri Oct 25 2024 An upper level shortwave, now moving out of the central plains will move east across the Quad State and weaken as it does. With high pressure quickly moving east today, southerly flow will bring increasing temperatures back into the area with highs in the lower to mid 80's. The aforementioned trough is expected to bring an increase in cloud cover today as well as the potential for scattered rain showers. Better chance will be confined to portions of southern Illinois. A cold front will then move through the region from the NW this evening and overnight veering winds toward the northwest behind the front. A few isolated to scattered showers are possible as this front moves through but any amounts will be very light. High pressure settles in toward the north for the weekend along with northwest flow aloft. This will bring cooler temperatures with highs in the mid 60's to near 70 both Saturday and Sunday. Lows will range from the upper 30's to low/mid 40's. Heading into next week, high pressure is quick to move east with deepening surface pressure to the west. Southerly low level flow will pick up in response bringing warmer temperatures back into the forecast. Highs on Monday will rise into the mid to upper 70's, and into the lower 80's Tuesday and Wednesday. Given the strong winds and dry fuels, there may be some fire weather concerns during this time. Toward the end of the forecast period, guidance suggests a stronger disturbance should bring another front through the region. There is potential that this front could bring some much needed rainfall. However, it could also impact outdoor plans for Halloween. Stay tuned for updates on that in the coming days. && .AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z SATURDAY/... Issued at 1149 PM CDT Thu Oct 24 2024 VFR expected through the period. Mid to high clouds will be possible today and tonight. Light and variable winds will increase from the southwest today before shifting to the northwest tonight behind a cold front. Brief LLWS still possible around sunrise at MVN and CGI. Best chances of rain, although low, will be at MVN and CGI associated with the front. && .PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... IL...None. MO...None. IN...None. KY...None. && $$ DISCUSSION...AD AVIATION...AD