FXUS65 KPUB 181116 AFDPUB Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Pueblo CO 416 AM MST Sun Jan 18 2026 .KEY MESSAGES... - Quiet and mild day today. - A band of light snow w/light accums possible late tonight into tomorrow AM generally north of line from KCOS to KLHX to KLAA. - Spotty fire wx issues developing mtns/plains interface region TUE- WED-THU. - Unsettled next weekend (large deviations in statistical temp guidance) && .SHORT TERM /THROUGH MONDAY/... Issued at 259 AM MST Sun Jan 18 2026 Currently... Except for some passing thin CI, skies were clear across the region early this morning. Temps were in the tens to low 20s across nearly all of the plains, but some 30s to around 40F were noted in downslope areas along the mtn/plains interface. San Luis Valley was mainly in the 10s. Mtns were cold with mainly tens. Today... A very nice day. Mostly Sunny skies are anticipated across the region with max temps mainly in the 50s plains and mid 40s SLV. Mtns will be in the 20s. Tonight into Tomorrow morning.... A weak disturbance will begin to impact the region late tonight and last into tomorrow morning, with light snow expected from the central mtns to across the northern Pikes Peak region and then into Kiowa county prior to sunrise, and pushing east-southeast through tomorrow morning. Commute over the Palmer Divide tomorrow morning will be impacted with possible lower visibility and some light accumulations. Snow will be "wispy" as it will be cold with lows in the upper 10s most of the plains. Single digits will occur over the SLV with single digits in the mtns. Some snow showers will be likely over the rest of the plains and the southern mtns during tomorrow morning. The remainder of the region should be dry. Tomorrow afternoon Snow is expected to push out of the region by early tomorrow afternoon. Max temps tomorrow will be cold with highs only in the 30s plains M40s SLV. 10s and 20s in the mtns. Winds will be light tomorrow, becoming upslope over the plains by mid day. && .LONG TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/... Issued at 259 AM MST Sun Jan 18 2026 Tuesday through Thursday. It will be warming up these 3 days. Modest NW flow will continue with a weak (dry) disturbance or two moving in the flow. Main concern during this time is spotty critical fire weather conditions developing along the mtn/plains interface, especially in the gap flow region. Max temps will mainly be in the 50s plains with 40s SLV. Friday into early next week... Unsettled and cool/(cold?). There is likely going to be a fairly stout baroclinic surface boundary over the region during this period as an arctic airmass will be lurking to our north through northeast, and some of this colder air will likely infiltrate into the fcst area, especially over the far eastern plains. It still needs to be determined how far west it will move, and this is shown in the LARGE temps spreads in the DESI statistical guidance over the plains. Without saying, confidence in the temps fcst over the plains during this period is quite low. It is likely that the SLV will be warmer than the plains on these days. Additionally. a better disturbance will likely be moving across the region during the weekend time period and expected we will see a very good chance of some snow over the mtns, especially along the CONTDVD during this period. At this time accums don't look to be all that great, but some accums in the mtns are better than no accums. \/Hodanish && .AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z MONDAY/... Issued at 412 AM MST Sun Jan 18 2026 VFR conditions are expected through at least the next 18 hours at KCOS and KPUB. winds will become east-southeast during the afternoon and last through the evening hours. Cigs will begin to lower at KCOS and KPUB after midnight tonight, with possible MVFR cigs towards sunrise Monday. KALS will be VFR next 24 hours with light winds. && .PUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && $$ SHORT TERM...HODANISH LONG TERM...HODANISH AVIATION...HODANISH