FXUS65 KREV 071013
AFDREV

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Reno NV
213 AM PST Sat Nov 7 2026

.KEY MESSAGES...

* Dry weather prevails through the middle of next week with
  warmer than normal daytime temperatures this weekend.

* Periods of increased breezes will pose minor impacts to aviation
  and recreation Sunday into Monday.

* A wetter and windier pattern remains on track to arrive late
  next week into the weekend.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

We will get to enjoy a warm and dry weekend as a ridge of high
pressure remains overhead. Today's afternoon temperatures will
increase into the low to mid-60s in western NV and northeast CA.
Eastern Sierra communities will vary from the upper-50s to mid-60s.
Afternoon high temperatures increase a few more degrees on
Sunday, with mid-60s to near 70 degrees in western NV, and low to
mid-60s in the eastern Sierra. Winds today are light throughout
the region. However by Sunday, west to southwest winds will begin
to increase during the afternoon along the ridgetops in response
to a weak trough poised to brush the region on Monday.

A weak trough will pass through the Pacific Northwest on Monday
resulting in a slight increase in winds throughout the region.
Gusts have not changed much from prior guidance. The strongest
west to southwest winds Monday afternoon are favored toward the
Oregon border, with gusts of 25-30 mph. Meanwhile, west to
southwest wind gusts to 15-20 mph are expected elsewhere. Ridgetop
winds from the Tahoe Basin northward will also become gusty at
times through Monday evening, with gusts upwards of 40-50 mph.
Temperatures on Monday and Tuesday will tumble a few degrees, but
remain above average for the second week of November. At this
moment, this weak system is still dry.

From Tuesday through Thursday, the model ensembles agree that a
ridge of high pressure will amplify across the western half of the
U.S. As a result, temperatures during this timeframe will be
upwards of 4 to 8 degrees above average mid mid-November. With
high pressure aloft, the storm track and precipitation remain to
the north. By Friday through the weekend, ensembles continue to
show the upper high pressure moving east as a larger scale trough
moves into the eastern Pacific/west coast. Meanwhile, a cutoff low
forms and moves south toward southern CA/Baja. At this time, there
remains high uncertainty from rain/snow timing and amounts, as
well as winds across the region. The bottom line toward the end of
next week (14th to 15th), the pattern will change from calm, dry
weather to a more active, wet, and windy. -McKellar

&&

.AVIATION...

VFR conditions for all terminals through the weekend with light
winds. Valley inversions and morning haze may reduce slantwise
visibilities each morning for KRNO. FL100 winds increase by early
Sunday morning, bringing brief periods of LLWS and mountain wave
turbulence.

-Giralte

&&

.REV Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
NV...None.
CA...None.
&&

$$