FNUS53 KAPX 190933
FWFAPX
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for northern Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
433 AM EST Sun Nov 19 2023
...Fire weather conditions to remain below critical levels...
.DISCUSSION...Dry weather expected today and Monday, before rain and
snow chances begin Monday night. RH and winds expected to remain below
critical levels through the period.
MIZ016-017-021>023-099-192115-
Emmet...Cheboygan...Charlevoix...Antrim...Otsego and Montmorency
Counties-
433 AM EST Sun Nov 19 2023
.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent).
Max Temperature.....37-42.
24 HR Trend......7 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........48-53 percent.
24 HR Trend......6 percent wetter...except 5 percent drier along
the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 10 mph .
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Good (480).
Mixing Height.......3200 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 12 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent).
Min Temperature.....23-28...except around 30 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......9 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........85-90 percent...except 76-81 percent along the
coast.
24 HR Trend......9 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph shifting to the east
after midnight.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (40).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 6 mph shifting to the east after
midnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
.MONDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (45-55 percent).
Max Temperature.....39-44.
24 HR Trend......1 degree warmer.
Min Humidity........49-54 percent.
24 HR Trend......2 percent wetter...except 3 percent drier along
the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph .
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Fair (180).
Mixing Height.......1700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
$$
MIZ018-024-030-036-042-192115-
Presque Isle...Alpena...Alcona...Iosco and Arenac
Counties...including Eastern Huron NF-
433 AM EST Sun Nov 19 2023
.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent).
Max Temperature.....39-44...except 32-37 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......8 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........46-51 percent.
24 HR Trend......5 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 10 mph with occasional
gusts up to 24 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Excellent (600).
Mixing Height.......3300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 12 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent).
Min Temperature.....23-28...except around 31 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......6 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........86-91 percent...except 67-72 percent along the
coast.
24 HR Trend......7 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (40).
Mixing Height.......500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 9 mph shifting to the northeast
around 6 mph after midnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
.MONDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (45-55 percent).
Max Temperature.....40-45.
24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
Min Humidity........53-58 percent.
24 HR Trend......11 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......East winds 5 to 10 mph .
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Fair (250).
Mixing Height.......2400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....East 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
$$
MIZ020-025>027-192115-
Leelanau...Benzie...Grand Traverse and Kalkaska
Counties...including the Sleeping Bear Dunes NL-
433 AM EST Sun Nov 19 2023
.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent).
Max Temperature.....40-45.
24 HR Trend......7 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........51-56 percent.
24 HR Trend......14 percent wetter...except 5 percent drier
along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 10 mph .
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Good (430).
Mixing Height.......3000 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent).
Min Temperature.....23-28...except 35-40 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......7 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........86-91 percent...except 68-73 percent along the
coast.
24 HR Trend......12 percent drier...except 4 percent drier along
the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......East winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (20).
Mixing Height.......300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northeast around 6 mph shifting to the east
after midnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
.MONDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent).
Max Temperature.....40-45.
24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
Min Humidity........47-52 percent.
24 HR Trend......1 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds around 10 mph .
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Fair (180).
Mixing Height.......1500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
$$
MIZ031>033-192115-
Manistee...Wexford and Missaukee Counties...Including the
northern quarter of Manistee NF-
433 AM EST Sun Nov 19 2023
.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent).
Max Temperature.....41-46.
24 HR Trend......4 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........50-55 percent.
24 HR Trend......12 percent wetter...except 3 percent drier
along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds 5 to 10 mph .
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Good (370).
Mixing Height.......2700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent).
Min Temperature.....24-29.
24 HR Trend......2 degrees cooler...except 3 degrees warmer near
the coast.
Max Humidity........84-89 percent.
24 HR Trend......8 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......East winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (20).
Mixing Height.......200 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....East around 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
.MONDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (65-75 percent).
Max Temperature.....40-45.
24 HR Trend......2 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........49-54 percent.
24 HR Trend......3 percent wetter...except 3 percent drier along
the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......East winds around 10 mph .
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Fair (200).
Mixing Height.......1500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....East 12 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
$$
MIZ028-029-034-035-041-192115-
Crawford...Oscoda...Roscommon...Ogemaw and Gladwin
Counties...including Western Huron NF-
433 AM EST Sun Nov 19 2023
.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent).
Max Temperature.....40-45.
24 HR Trend......6 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........47-52 percent.
24 HR Trend......5 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 10 mph .
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Good (450).
Mixing Height.......2900 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent).
Min Temperature.....22-27.
24 HR Trend......8 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........86-91 percent.
24 HR Trend......8 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (30).
Mixing Height.......500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northeast around 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
.MONDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent).
Max Temperature.....38-43.
24 HR Trend......2 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........55-60 percent.
24 HR Trend......12 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......East winds 5 to 10 mph .
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Fair (230).
Mixing Height.......2000 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....East 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
$$
.EXTENDED...
.TUESDAY...CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS AROUND 40. EAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS
AROUND 15 MPH.
.THANKSGIVING DAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN
THE UPPER 30S. WEST WINDS AROUND 15 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID
30S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
$$
JHV