FNUS53 KDTX 210813
FWFDTX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southeast Michigan
National Weather Service Detroit/Pontiac MI
313 AM EST Tue Nov 21 2023

.DISCUSSION...Widespread rain is expected today with dry conditions
then returning for the remainder of the week once lingering showers
end tonight. High temperatures will range largely in the 40s through
Thursday and then cool into the 30s by late in the week.

MIZ047-048-053-060-061-212215-
Midland-Bay-Saginaw-Shiawassee-Genesee-
Including the cities of Midland-Bay City-Saginaw-Owosso-Flint
313 AM EST Tue Nov 21 2023

.REST OF TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (90-100 percent). Showers. Chance of
                    precipitation 100 percent.
Max temperature.....40-45.
   24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
Min humidity........68-78 percent.
   24 hr trend......29 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......East 10 to 15 mph becoming northeast early in
                    the afternoon.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......690-1190 ft agl.
Transport winds.....East 15 to 20 mph becoming southeast around 10
                    mph early in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair (241).
Pcpn amount.........0.51-0.75 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (80-90 percent). Chance of showers
                    until 1 am, then slight chance of showers.
                    Chance of precipitation 60 percent.
Min temperature.....30-35.
   24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
Max humidity........92-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......9 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Northwest 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......880-1080 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Northwest 10 to 15 mph becoming north around 20
                    mph after midnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (23).
Pcpn amount.........0.06-0.10 in.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent).
Max temperature.....40-45.
   24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
Min humidity........60-70 percent.
   24 hr trend......7 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Northwest 10 to 15 mph becoming west early in
                    the afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......2580-3080 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 15 mph becoming west early in
                    the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (420).
Pcpn amount.........None.


$$

MIZ049-054-055-062-212215-
Huron-Tuscola-Sanilac-Lapeer-
Including the cities of Bad Axe-Caro-Sandusky-Lapeer
313 AM EST Tue Nov 21 2023

.REST OF TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (90-100 percent). Rain showers likely
                    after 4 am until 7 am, then showers.
                    Chance of precipitation 100 percent.
Max temperature.....42-48.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........69-79 percent.
   24 hr trend......23 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southeast 15 to 20 mph diminishing to around 10
                    mph early in the afternoon.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......900-1400 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southeast 20 to 25 mph decreasing to around 15
                    mph early in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (467).
Pcpn amount.........0.51-0.75 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Rain showers likely
                    until 10 pm, then chance of showers. Chance
                    of precipitation 70 percent.
Min temperature.....33-38.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........90-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......14 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Northwest 10 to 15 mph becoming around 15 mph
                    after midnight.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......860-1060 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 10 mph becoming northwest 15
                    to 20 mph in the late evening and overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (24).
Pcpn amount.........0.11-0.25 in.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (55-65 percent).
Max temperature.....40-45.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........51-61 percent.
   24 hr trend......9 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Northwest 15 to 20 mph becoming west around 10
                    mph early in the afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......2520-3020 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 20 mph becoming west early in
                    the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (482).
Pcpn amount.........None.


$$

MIZ063-068>070-075-076-082-083-212215-
St Clair-Livingston-Oakland-Macomb-Washtenaw-Wayne-Lenawee-Monroe-
Including the cities of Port Huron-Howell-Pontiac-Warren-Ann
Arbor-Detroit-Adrian-Monroe
313 AM EST Tue Nov 21 2023

.REST OF TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (90-100 percent). Showers. Chance of
                    precipitation 100 percent.
Max temperature.....44-50.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........65-75 percent.
   24 hr trend......19 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southeast 15 to 20 mph becoming south around 10
                    mph early in the afternoon.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......770-1270 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southeast 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (364).
Pcpn amount.........0.51-0.75 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (80-90 percent). Rain showers likely
                    until 10 pm, then chance of showers. Chance
                    of precipitation 60 percent.
Min temperature.....34-38.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........90-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......5 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......West 10 to 15 mph becoming northwest after
                    midnight.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......860-1060 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 10 mph becoming northwest 15
                    to 20 mph in the late evening and overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (23).
Pcpn amount.........0.06-0.10 in.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent).
Max temperature.....40-46.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........57-67 percent.
   24 hr trend......8 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Northwest 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......2610-3110 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 20 mph decreasing to around 15
                    mph early in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (482).
Pcpn amount.........None.


$$


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.THANKSGIVING DAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 30s. Highs in
the mid 40s. West winds around 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Colder. Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 20s. Highs in the
mid 30s. Northwest winds around 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 20s. Highs in the mid
30s. Northwest winds around 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with chance of rain and snow showers.
Lows in the mid 20s. Highs in the upper 30s.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with chance of rain and snow showers.
Lows in the upper 20s. Highs in the mid 30s.

$$

DG