FNUS73 KGID 171100
FWSGID
Spot Forecast for KPFC Burn School...Kansas Forest Service
National Weather Service Hastings NE
500 AM CST Fri Nov 17 2023
Forecast is based on ignition time of 0800 CST on November 17.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.
.DISCUSSION...
Clear skies and light winds are forecast today and even into Saturday.
Light and variable winds this morning should become predominately
southwesterly by mid to late afternoon, but remain at speeds of
only 5-10 MPH. The clear skies and SWrly turn in wind direction
should support seasonably high mixing levels of 2-3K feet. Despite
the turn in wind direction to SW, relative humidity values should
remain above 30 percent.
Generally similar conditions of clear skies, southerly winds 5 to
15 MPH, and relative humidity values around 30 percent or higher,
are expected for Saturday.
.REST OF TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-5 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 57.
Min humidity........33 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........North winds 6 to 7 mph early in the morning
becoming light, then becoming southwest around
5 mph late in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......2400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North 5 to 10 mph shifting to the west 5 to 8
mph in the afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
TIME (CST) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........2 1 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 2
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............36 40 43 46 50 53 55 56 57 55
RH..............75 64 55 47 41 36 34 34 33 35
20 FT wind dir..N N N N N NW W W SW W
20 FT wind spd..7 7 6 3 3 3 3 5 5 5
20 FT wind gust.12 13 10 8 7 8 8 9 9 7
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 1.2 1.7 1.9 2.0 2.1 2.3 2.4 2.2 0.6
Transp wind dir.N N N N NW W W W W SW
Transp wind spd.9 10 7 5 5 5 5 8 7 5
Haines index....4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (10-20 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 35.
Max humidity........82 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming south around 5 mph in the
late evening and overnight, then shifting to
the southwest early in the morning.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 5 to 9 mph.
Haines Index........4 to 5 or low to moderate potential for large
plume dominated fire growth.
TIME (CST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........2 9 17 24 16 12 9 7 7 8 9 9
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............52 50 47 45 43 43 41 40 38 38 37 36
RH..............38 42 47 51 55 55 59 62 67 70 72 75
20 FT wind dir..W S S S S S S SW SW SW SW SW
20 FT wind spd..3 3 3 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5
20 FT wind gust.6 6 7 8 8 8 9 9 9 9 8 8
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
Transp wind dir.SW S S S S S S SW SW SW SW W
Transp wind spd.5 5 5 7 7 7 8 9 9 8 8 6
Haines index....4 4 4 4 4 4 5 5 5 5 5 5
.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 66.
Min humidity........28 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 5 to 7 mph shifting to the
south 7 to 8 mph late in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......2300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 6 mph shifting to the
northwest around 5 mph early in the morning,
then shifting to the southwest 5 to 9 mph early
in the morning shifting to the south late in
the afternoon.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
TIME (CST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........7 5 2 0 0 0 0 4 7 11 14 17
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............36 35 36 42 47 53 59 61 63 65 63 61
RH..............75 82 79 65 56 44 36 33 30 28 30 33
20 FT wind dir..SW SW SW SW SW SW SW S S S S SE
20 FT wind spd..5 5 5 5 5 6 6 6 7 7 7 8
20 FT wind gust.8 8 8 8 10 12 14 14 14 14 14 14
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.6 1.1 1.4 1.9 2.2 2.3 1.8 1.0
Transp wind dir.SW NW SW SW SW SW SW SW S S S SE
Transp wind spd.6 5 5 5 5 7 7 8 9 9 10 10
Haines index....5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5
$$
Forecaster...Thies
Requested by...Dennis Carlson
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2325500.0/GID
.DELDT 11/17/23
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL dcarlson@ksu.edu