FNUS73 KGID 171912
FWSGID

Spot Forecast for Harvard Pile Burns...FWS
National Weather Service Hastings NE
212 PM CDT Wed Jul 17 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0700 CDT on July 18.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...

Scattered showers/storms are possible (15-25%) throughout the
morning hours on Thursday. Thunderstorms/showers will come to an
end by the afternoon hours. Winds on Thursday will be south-
southeasterly at 5-10 mph with gusts to 15 mph. Highs will be in
the low 80s. Thunderstorm chances (15-25%) return Thursday night
into Friday morning.


.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms in the morning.
Max temperature.....Around 81.
Min humidity........55 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming south 5 to 10 mph early in
                    the morning. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms in the morning.
Mixing height.......4500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 8 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........3 to 4 or very low to low potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.

TIME (CDT)      7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........50  51  49  49  48  44  51  46  41  36  35
Weather cov.....SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
Temp............62  64  66  71  73  75  76  78  79  80  81
RH..............88  86  83  71  69  64  64  60  58  56  55
20 FT wind dir..SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S   SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT wind spd..3   5   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6
20 FT wind gust.7   9   10  12  12  13  13  13  13  13  13
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.5 1.1 1.6 2.4 3.1 3.5 3.6 4.4 4.4 4.5
Transp wind dir.SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.9   9   9   10  9   9   8   8   8   10  10
Haines index....4   4   4   4   4   4   3   3   3   3   3

.THURSDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (20-30 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms overnight.
Min temperature.....Around 61.
Max humidity........86 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms overnight.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 9 to 14 mph.
Haines Index........3 to 4 or very low to low potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.

TIME (CDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........31  26  23  20  19  21  22  23  24  25  27  29
Weather cov.....                            SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
Weather type....                            RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........                            SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
Temp............80  80  78  73  71  68  68  66  65  64  63  62
RH..............56  56  60  70  73  78  76  79  78  78  81  82
20 FT wind dir..SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT wind spd..6   6   6   6   6   6   7   7   7   7   7   7
20 FT wind gust.13  12  12  12  12  13  14  15  15  15  15  15
Mix hgt (kft)...3.5 2.4 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5
Transp wind dir.SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S   S
Transp wind spd.9   9   10  10  10  10  12  12  13  13  14  14
Haines index....3   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent). Slight chance of
                    thunderstorms early in the morning. Slight
                    chance of showers in the morning.
Max temperature.....Around 82.
Min humidity........58 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 8 to 12 mph. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms early in the
                    morning.
Mixing height.......5500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 12 to 18 mph.
Haines Index........4 to 5 or low to moderate potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........32  35  37  39  41  40  38  37  38  40  41  43
Weather cov.....SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........SCH SCH SCH SCH
Temp............62  61  64  67  70  73  76  78  80  81  81  81
RH..............84  86  80  78  73  69  65  62  60  59  58  58
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..8   8   9   9   10  12  12  12  12  12  10  9
20 FT wind gust.15  15  17  18  20  21  21  21  21  21  20  18
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 0.5 0.9 1.4 1.9 2.5 3.2 3.8 4.7 5.4 5.5 4.6
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.15  15  16  18  18  17  16  15  14  14  13  12
Haines index....4   4   4   4   4   4   4   5   5   5   5   5

$$
Forecaster...Davis
Requested by...Cody Miller
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2418300.0/GID
.DELDT 07/17/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL cody_miller@fws.gov