FNUS53 KGRR 030733
FWFGRR

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southwest Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Grand Rapids MI
333 AM EDT Fri Nov 3 2023

...A few showers later today...

.DISCUSSION...
A weakening cold front will bring a few showers later today
through this evening. Fair weather will return late tonight
through the weekend as a high pressure ridge gradually builds
in from the northwest.


MIZ037>039-043>045-032015-
Mason-Lake-Osceola-Oceana-Newaygo-Mecosta-
Including the cities of Ludington, Baldwin, Reed City, Hart,
Fremont, and Big Rapids
333 AM EDT Fri Nov 3 2023

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers after 2 PM.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....Around 51.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........71-76 percent near Lake Michigan and 63-68
                    percent Inland.
   24 hr trend......20 percent wetter near Lake Michigan and 15
                    percent wetter Inland.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......2200-2700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....750-770 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.09 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent) until 2 AM, then
                    partly cloudy (60-70 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain showers until 2 AM.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent in the evening.
Min temperature.....31-36.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Northwest winds around 6 mph shifting to the
                    northeast overnight.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1900-2400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 10 mph shifting to the
                    northeast overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....90-150 (poor to fair).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.01 in.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (45-55 percent).
Max temperature.....47-52.
   24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
Min humidity........61-66 percent.
   24 hr trend......3 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......North winds 5 to 8 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......2900-3400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast around 10 mph shifting to the
                    northwest in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....190-230 (fair).
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ040-046-032015-
Clare-Isabella-
Including the cities of Clare and Mount Pleasant
333 AM EDT Fri Nov 3 2023

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers after 2 PM.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....Around 52.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........56-61 percent.
   24 hr trend......14 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 12 to 17 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......2200-2700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....780-850 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.03 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent) until 2 AM, then
                    partly cloudy (60-70 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain showers until 2 AM.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent in the evening.
Min temperature.....31-36.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......West winds around 7 mph shifting to the
                    northeast around 6 mph overnight.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1300-1800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West around 10 mph shifting to the northeast
                    overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....80-170 (poor to fair).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.01 in.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 50.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........63-68 percent.
   24 hr trend......7 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Northeast winds around 7 mph until midday
                    becoming light.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......2600-3100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast around 5 mph shifting to the
                    northwest in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....170-220 (fair).
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ050-056-064-071-032015-
Muskegon-Ottawa-Allegan-Van Buren-
Including the cities of Muskegon, Grand Haven, Jenison, Holland,
and South Haven
333 AM EDT Fri Nov 3 2023

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent) until 2 PM, then
                    cloudy (85-95 percent). Chance of rain showers
                    after 2 PM.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....50-55.
   24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
Min humidity........45-50 percent.
   24 hr trend......22 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 12 to 17 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1700-2200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....630-660 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.01 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers until 2 AM.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent in the evening.
Min temperature.....34-39.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph shifting to the
                    northeast overnight.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1500-2000 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    700-1200 ft AGL Inland.
Transport winds.....West around 10 mph shifting to the northeast
                    overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....50-220 (poor to fair).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.05 in.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 53.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........64-69 percent.
   24 hr trend......5 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......North winds 5 to 9 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......2700-3200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....160-220 (fair).
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ051-052-057>059-032015-
Montcalm-Gratiot-Kent-Ionia-Clinton-
Including the cities of Greenville, Alma, Grand Rapids, Ionia,
and St. Johns
333 AM EDT Fri Nov 3 2023

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain showers after 2 PM.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....Around 53.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........49-54 percent.
   24 hr trend......15 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 13 to 18 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......2000-2500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 25 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....740-800 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent) until 5 AM, then
                    partly cloudy (65-75 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers until 2 AM.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent in the evening.
Min temperature.....35-40.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 7 mph shifting to the
                    northeast overnight.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......700-1200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West around 10 mph shifting to the north
                    overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....60-130 (poor to fair).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.05 in.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (65-75 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 52.
   24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
Min humidity........61-66 percent.
   24 hr trend......14 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......1600-2100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....180-190 (fair).
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ065>067-072>074-032015-
Barry-Eaton-Ingham-Kalamazoo-Calhoun-Jackson-
Including the cities of Hastings, Charlotte, Lansing, Kalamazoo,
Battle Creek, and Jackson
333 AM EDT Fri Nov 3 2023

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (65-75 percent) until 5 PM, then
                    cloudy (85-95 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 54.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........41-46 percent.
   24 hr trend......13 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 13 to 18 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......1500-2000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 25 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....550-840 (good to excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 40.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........91-96 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 7 mph in the evening
                    becoming light.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......100-600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....50-160 (poor to fair).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.04 in.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (65-75 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 54.
   24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
Min humidity........59-64 percent.
   24 hr trend......13 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......2100-2600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....160-190 (fair).
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 30s. North winds
5 to 6 mph in the evening becoming light.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 50s. Southwest winds 5 to
10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers overnight. Lows
around 40. South winds 12 to 17 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Showers. Highs in the upper 50s. Southwest
winds 18 to 23 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers in the evening.
Lows in the lower 40s. West winds 12 to 17 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Highs in the lower 50s. Northwest winds
8 to 13 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in the
upper 30s.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Highs in the
upper 40s.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Cloudy. Showers likely in the evening, then a
chance of showers overnight. Lows in the upper 30s.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Highs in the mid
40s.

$$