FNUS52 KILM 080721
FWFILM

Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
321 AM EDT Sun Sep 8 2024

.DISCUSSION...
Cooler weather today as front stalls offshore, with shower
chances along the coast this afternoon into tonight. Canadian
high pressure will maintain seasonable and dry weather through
Wednesday, but moisture may increase from the south late in the
week.

Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable.

Fog potential for tonight is None.

NCZ105>110-082330-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach,
Southport, and Sunset Beach
321 AM EDT Sun Sep 8 2024

                      Today        Tonight      Mon

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Mcldy        Pcldy
Precip Chance (%)     10           20           0
Precip Type           Showers      Showers      None
LAL                   1            1            1
Max/Min Temp          76           58           81
Min/Max RH (%)        58           94           44
Wind20ft/Early (mph)  NE  6        Lgt/Var      NE  7 G18
Wind20ft/Late (mph)   NE  6        NE  4        NE  7 G18
Precip Amount         0.00         0.02         0.00
Precip Duration       1            1
Precip Begin          12 PM        Continuing
Precip End            Continuing   6 AM
Inversion(Temp/Time)  67/0900      1900         66/0900
Dispersion                         Poor
Haines Index          2            3            4
DSI                   2                         2
Mixing Hgt (ft)       2800                      4600
Transport Wind (mph)  E 13                      NE 14
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    36400                     64400
ADI Early             26 Fair      19 Gen Poor  52 Gen Good
ADI Late              28 Fair      10 Poor      63 Good
Max LVORI Early       4            4            5
Max LVORI Late        2            4            1
Min VSBY Early        7            7            7
Min VSBY Late         7            7            7
Turner Stability      D            E            C

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
89 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 43 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
96 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
53 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
91 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
63 percent. Northeast winds around 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum
RH 96 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 75 percent.
Northeast winds around 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the upper 60s. Maximum RH 99 percent. Chance of showers
40 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 72 percent.
East winds around 10 mph.

$$

NCZ087-096-099-082330-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
321 AM EDT Sun Sep 8 2024

                      Today        Tonight      Mon

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Pcldy        Mclear
Precip Chance (%)     0            0            0
Precip Type           None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1
Max/Min Temp          76           58           82
Min/Max RH (%)        51           89           37
Wind20ft/Early (mph)  NE  5        Lgt/Var      NE  5
Wind20ft/Late (mph)   NE  5        Lgt/Var      NE  5
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time)  66/0900      1900         66/0900
Dispersion                         Very Poor
Haines Index          2            3            4
DSI                   2                         2
Mixing Hgt (ft)       2800                      4600
Transport Wind (mph)  E 12                      NE 12
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    33600                     55200
ADI Early             30 Fair      22 Fair      59 Gen Good
ADI Late              30 Fair      6 Very Poor  64 Good
Max LVORI Early       4            4            5
Max LVORI Late        2            4            1
Min VSBY Early        7            7            7
Min VSBY Late         7            7            7
Turner Stability      D            E            B

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
91 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 39 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
96 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
48 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum
RH 92 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
57 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum
RH 96 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
lower 80s. Minimum RH 73 percent. Chance of showers 40 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the upper 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of showers
30 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 69 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.

$$

SCZ054>056-058-059-082330-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris,
Green Sea, and Aynor
321 AM EDT Sun Sep 8 2024

                      Today        Tonight      Mon

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Mcldy        Pcldy
Precip Chance (%)     20           30           0
Precip Type           Showers      Showers      None
LAL                   1            1            1
Max/Min Temp          77           61           81
Min/Max RH (%)        56           92           45
Wind20ft/Early (mph)  NE  6        NE  4        NE  7 G19
Wind20ft/Late (mph)   NE  6        NE  4        NE  8 G19
Precip Amount         0.04         0.07         0.00
Precip Duration       1            2
Precip Begin          8 AM         Continuing
Precip End            Continuing   6 AM
Inversion(Temp/Time)  68/0600      1900         67/0900
Dispersion                         Fair
Haines Index          3            3            3
DSI                   2                         2
Mixing Hgt (ft)       3100                      4100
Transport Wind (mph)  E 14                      NE 15
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    43400                     61500
ADI Early             30 Fair      26 Fair      50 Gen Good
ADI Late              33 Fair      11 Poor      64 Good
Max LVORI Early       4            4            4
Max LVORI Late        3            4            1
Min VSBY Early        7            7            7
Min VSBY Late         7            7            7
Turner Stability      D            D            C

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 60. Maximum RH
88 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 45 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
95 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
56 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum
RH 88 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
67 percent. Northeast winds around 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of
showers. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 95 percent. East winds
around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 80 percent.
Northeast winds around 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows
around 70. Maximum RH 99 percent. Chance of showers 30 percent.
East winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 75 percent.
East winds around 10 mph.

$$

SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-082330-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
321 AM EDT Sun Sep 8 2024

                      Today        Tonight      Mon

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Pcldy        Mclear
Precip Chance (%)     0            10           0
Precip Type           None         Showers      None
LAL                   1            1            1
Max/Min Temp          77           58           82
Min/Max RH (%)        49           87           37
Wind20ft/Early (mph)  NE  6        Lgt/Var      NE  5
Wind20ft/Late (mph)   NE  6        Lgt/Var      NE  7
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration                    1
Precip Begin                       6 PM
Precip End                         6 AM
Inversion(Temp/Time)  68/1000      1900         66/0900
Dispersion                         Poor
Haines Index          3            3            4
DSI                   2                         2
Mixing Hgt (ft)       3400                      4600
Transport Wind (mph)  E 13                      NE 13
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    44200                     59800
ADI Early             35 Fair      28 Fair      56 Gen Good
ADI Late              35 Fair      8 Poor       69 Good
Max LVORI Early       3            4            4
Max LVORI Late        2            4            1
Min VSBY Early        7            7            7
Min VSBY Late         7            7            7
Turner Stability      D            E            B

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
89 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 39 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
95 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
49 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
90 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
59 percent. Northeast winds around 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of
showers. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 96 percent. East winds
around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs around 80.
Minimum RH 76 percent. Chance of showers 50 percent. Northeast
winds around 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the upper 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of showers
30 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 72 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal.  Precipitation below normal.

$$

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
   NOT USED                    0             0 TO 14759
    0 TO 17249                 1         14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.

$$

Forecaster...VAO