FNUS52 KILM 081322
FWFILM
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
822 AM EST Fri Dec 8 2023
.DISCUSSION...
Dry weather will continue through tonight. A potent storm system
will bring significant rainfall and strong winds Sunday through
Sunday night. High pressure will follow bringing the return of
cool and dry weather for much of next week.
Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable.
Fog potential for tonight is Low.
NCZ105>110-090530-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach,
Southport, and Sunset Beach
822 AM EST Fri Dec 8 2023
Today Tonight Sat
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Chance (%) 0 0 0
Precip Type None None None
LAL 1 1 1
Max/Min Temp 63 45 73
Min/Max RH (%) 39 100 60
Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind20ft/Late (mph) SW 4 Lgt/Var S 4
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 56/1100 1600 66/1100
Dispersion Very Poor
Haines Index 4 4 3
DSI 1 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 2200 3000
Transport Wind (mph) SW 14 S 12
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 30800 36000
ADI Early 18 Gen Poor 6 Very Poor 15 Gen Poor
ADI Late 34 Fair 5 Very Poor 32 Fair
Max LVORI Early 5 5 8
Max LVORI Late 2 7 4
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability B E B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of
showers. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 99 percent. South
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the
lower 70s. Minimum RH 82 percent. Chance of precipitation
90 percent. South winds 15 to 20 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Breezy, showers, colder. Lows in the mid 40s.
Maximum RH 98 percent. Chance of showers 90 percent. Southwest
winds 15 to 25 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny, cooler. Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH
51 percent. Northwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Clear, colder. Lows in the lower 30s. Maximum RH
83 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH 45 percent.
North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 30s. Maximum RH
89 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH
50 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum
RH 84 percent. North winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH
48 percent. North winds 10 to 15 mph.
$$
NCZ087-096-099-090530-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
822 AM EST Fri Dec 8 2023
Today Tonight Sat
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Mclear
Precip Chance (%) 0 0 0
Precip Type None None None
LAL 1 1 1
Max/Min Temp 63 44 72
Min/Max RH (%) 37 99 57
Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind20ft/Late (mph) SW 5 Lgt/Var S 4
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 55/1100 1600 65/1100
Dispersion Poor
Haines Index 4 4 3
DSI 1 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 2200 3000
Transport Wind (mph) SW 15 SW 14
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 33000 42000
ADI Early 19 Gen Poor 8 Poor 19 Gen Poor
ADI Late 38 Fair 8 Poor 43 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 5 4 8
Max LVORI Late 2 6 3
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability B E B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 100 percent. South
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the
lower 70s. Minimum RH 80 percent. Chance of precipitation
90 percent. South winds 15 to 20 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Showers, colder. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum
RH 98 percent. Chance of showers 90 percent. Southwest winds
15 to 20 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny, cooler. Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH
47 percent. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Clear, colder. Lows around 30. Maximum RH
84 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH 42 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 30s. Maximum RH
88 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH
47 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum RH
85 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 45 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
SCZ054>056-058-059-090530-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris,
Green Sea, and Aynor
822 AM EST Fri Dec 8 2023
Today Tonight Sat
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Mclear
Precip Chance (%) 0 0 0
Precip Type None None None
LAL 1 1 1
Max/Min Temp 63 47 73
Min/Max RH (%) 42 100 62
Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 56/1100 1700 66/1100
Dispersion Very Poor
Haines Index 4 4 3
DSI 1 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 2500 3400
Transport Wind (mph) SW 14 S 10
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 35000 34000
ADI Early 17 Gen Poor 5 Very Poor 15 Gen Poor
ADI Late 37 Fair 5 Very Poor 37 Fair
Max LVORI Early 5 5 8
Max LVORI Late 2 6 4
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability B F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers. Lows around 60. Maximum RH 100 percent. South winds
10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the
lower 70s. Minimum RH 82 percent. Chance of precipitation
90 percent. South winds 15 to 20 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Showers, colder. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum
RH 99 percent. Chance of showers 90 percent. Southwest winds
15 to 20 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny, cooler. Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH
50 percent. Northwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Clear, colder. Lows in the lower 30s. Maximum RH
83 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH 46 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum RH
87 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH
51 percent. North winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum
RH 84 percent. Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH
49 percent. Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-090530-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
822 AM EST Fri Dec 8 2023
Today Tonight Sat
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Mclear
Precip Chance (%) 0 0 0
Precip Type None None None
LAL 1 1 1
Max/Min Temp 63 45 72
Min/Max RH (%) 37 100 59
Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind20ft/Late (mph) SW 5 Lgt/Var S 4
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 54/1100 1700 65/1100
Dispersion Poor
Haines Index 4 3 3
DSI 1 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 2700 3400
Transport Wind (mph) SW 16 SW 14
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 43200 47600
ADI Early 18 Gen Poor 8 Poor 21 Fair
ADI Late 46 Gen Good 8 Poor 44 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 5 4 8
Max LVORI Late 2 6 3
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability B E B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 100 percent. South
winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the
lower 70s. Minimum RH 80 percent. Chance of precipitation
90 percent. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Showers, colder. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum
RH 99 percent. Chance of showers 90 percent. West winds 15 to
20 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny, cooler. Highs in the lower 50s. Minimum RH
47 percent. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Clear, colder. Lows in the upper 20s. Maximum RH
85 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 50s. Minimum RH 43 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 30s. Maximum RH
87 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH
49 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum RH
86 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH
46 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal. Precipitation above normal.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759
0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$
Forecaster...RGZ