FNUS53 KJKL 301914
FWFJKL

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Kentucky
National Weather Service Jackson KY
Issued by National Weather Service Wilmington OH
314 PM EDT Wed Oct 30 2024

.DISCUSSION...Benign weather with warm temperatures and
mild overnight periods is expected into Thursday. A cold front
then moves into east Kentucky by Thursday evening bringing an 80
to 95 percent chance of wetting rain, lowest along the Virginia
border, before departing Friday. Southerly winds will continue to
gradually increase in the lead up to the cold frontal passage with
afternoon gusts of 15 to 20 mph possible at times through sunset
this evening, and between 20 to 30 mph Thursday just ahead of the
front. Minimum afternoon relative humidities are expected to remain
above critical levels despite afternoon temperatures reaching the
upper 70s to near 80 degrees each day. An increase in moisture ahead of
the front will help keep those minimum afternoon humidities in the
40 to 50 percent range.


KYZ044-050>052-058>060-104-106>109-111-119-310815-
Fleming-Montgomery-Bath-Rowan-Estill-Powell-Menifee-Elliott-Morgan-
Johnson-Wolfe-Magoffin-Lee-Martin-
Including the cities of Flemingsburg, Camargo, Jeffersonville,
Mount Sterling, Owingsville, Morehead, Irvine, Ravenna, Clay City,
Stanton, Frenchburg, Sandy Hook, West Liberty, Paintsville, Campton,
Salyersville, Beattyville, and Inez
314 PM EDT Wed Oct 30 2024

                      Tonight      Thu          Thu Night    Fri

Cloud Cover           Mclear       Pcldy        Mcldy        Pcldy
Chance precip (%)     0            30           90           20
Precip type           None         showers      showers      showers
Temp (24H TREND)      57 (+5)      78 (-1)      51           67
Rh % (24H TREND)      100 (+3)     46 (+3)      100          47
20ftwnd-AM(mph)                    S  7 G22                  Lgt/Var
20ftwnd-PM(mph)       Lgt/Var      SW  9 G23    SW  6 G18    Lgt/Var
Precip duration                    1            8            1
Precip begin                                    Continuing
Precip end                                      Continuing
Precip amount         0.00         0.01         0.18         0.01
LAL                   1            1            2            1
Haines Index (MID)                 3                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)                 3600                      2400
Transport wnd (mph)                SW 25                     N  5
Vent rate (kt-ft)                  79200                     9600
ADI Early             4            57           12           9
ADI Late              10           69           12           10
Max LVORI Early       6            5            5            8
Max LVORI Late        6            2            8            3

Remarks...ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by Lavdas.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.

$$

KYZ068-069-080-084>088-114-116-310815-
Rockcastle-Jackson-Laurel-McCreary-Whitley-Knox-Bell-Harlan-Owsley-
Clay-
Including the cities of Brodhead, Mount Vernon, McKee, Annville,
London, Stearns, Whitley City, Corbin, Williamsburg, Barbourville,
Middlesboro, Pineville, Cumberland, Harlan, Booneville,
and Manchester
314 PM EDT Wed Oct 30 2024

                      Tonight      Thu          Thu Night    Fri

Cloud Cover           Mclear       Pcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy
Chance precip (%)     0            0            90           40
Precip type           None         None         showers      showers
Temp (24H TREND)      56 (+6)      78 (-1)      55           68
Rh % (24H TREND)      100 (+1)     49 (+2)      100          62
20ftwnd-AM(mph)                    S  8 G22                  Lgt/Var
20ftwnd-PM(mph)       Lgt/Var      SW  9 G23    S  6 G18     Lgt/Var
Precip duration                                 5            1
Precip begin                                    Continuing
Precip end                                      Continuing
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.15         0.06
LAL                   1            1            2            2
Haines Index (MID)                 3                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)                 3000                      1500
Transport wnd (mph)                S 23                      W  3
Vent rate (kt-ft)                  60000                     4500
ADI Early             4            42           11           6
ADI Late              10           60           10           4
Max LVORI Early       7            5            5            9
Max LVORI Late        7            2            8            5

Remarks...ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by Lavdas.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.

$$

KYZ079-083-310815-
Pulaski-Wayne-
Including the cities of Burnside, Somerset, and Monticello
314 PM EDT Wed Oct 30 2024

                      Tonight      Thu          Thu Night    Fri

Cloud Cover           Mclear       Pcldy        Mcldy        Pcldy
Chance precip (%)     0            30           90           30
Precip type           None         showers      tstms        tstms
Temp (24H TREND)      59 (+7)      78 (-2)      54           69
Rh % (24H TREND)      100 (+1)     52 (+5)      100          63
20ftwnd-AM(mph)                    S 10 G24                  Lgt/Var
20ftwnd-PM(mph)       S  5 G17     S 10 G25     SW  7 G17    Lgt/Var
Precip duration                    1            5            1
Precip begin                                    Continuing
Precip end                                      Continuing
Precip amount         0.00         0.01         0.30         0.03
LAL                   1            1            2            2
Haines Index (MID)                 3                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)                 3200                      1300
Transport wnd (mph)                S 23                      N  3
Vent rate (kt-ft)                  64000                     3900
ADI Early             5            53           11           5
ADI Late              11           60           11           4
Max LVORI Early       6            4            5            9
Max LVORI Late        6            2            9            4

Remarks...ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by Lavdas.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.

$$

KYZ110-112-113-115-117-118-120-310815-
Floyd-Breathitt-Knott-Perry-Leslie-Letcher-Pike-
Including the cities of Prestonsburg, Wheelwright, Jackson, Hindman,
Pippa Passes, Hazard, Hyden, Jenkins, Whitesburg, Coal Run,
Elkhorn City, Pikeville, and South Williamson
314 PM EDT Wed Oct 30 2024

                      Tonight      Thu          Thu Night    Fri

Cloud Cover           Mclear       Pcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy
Chance precip (%)     0            0            80           50
Precip type           None         None         showers      showers
Temp (24H TREND)      56 (+6)      79 (0)       57           68
Rh % (24H TREND)      100 (+2)     45 (+1)      100          65
20ftwnd-AM(mph)                    S  5 G17                  Lgt/Var
20ftwnd-PM(mph)       Lgt/Var      SW  6 G17    SW  5        Lgt/Var
Precip duration                                 5            1
Precip begin                                    8 PM
Precip end                                      Continuing
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.09         0.06
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Haines Index (MID)                 3                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)                 2900                      1600
Transport wnd (mph)                SW 20                     W  5
Vent rate (kt-ft)                  49300                     6400
ADI Early             4            26           10           7
ADI Late              10           60           10           8
Max LVORI Early       6            5            4            9
Max LVORI Late        6            2            8            5

Remarks...ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by Lavdas.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.

$$

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 70. Light winds.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. East winds
less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. South winds less than
10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. South winds less
than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. South winds less than
10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. South winds
5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. South winds 5 to
10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. A chance of showers. Lows around 60.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny. A chance of showers. Highs in the lower
70s. Southwest winds less than 10 mph.

$$

JKL/AR