FNUS55 KPSR 172045
FWFPSR

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southwest and South-Central
Arizona and Southeast California
National Weather Service Phoenix AZ
145 PM MST Wed Jul 17 2024

.DISCUSSION...
Daily afternoon and early evening thunderstorm activity will
continue across the higher terrain areas of eastern AZ through the
end of the week. The main hazards with the thunderstorm activity
will continue to be strong and erratic winds along with localized,
brief heavy downpours. Aside from the thunderstorm winds, afternoon
and early evening upslope gusts of 20-25 mph will be common. MinRHs
will continue to range between 15-25% with fair to good overnight
recoveries in the 30-60% range.

...Thunderstorms imply gusty winds...

Note...Additional Fire Weather Forecast information can be found
in the Area Forecast Discussion. See product PHXAFDPSR.

AZZ132-180845-
West Central Deserts/Northwest Maricopa County/Greater Phoenix
Area/Southwest Deserts/Southwest Maricopa County/
Northwest and North-Central Pinal County-
Phoenix BLM/YUM BLM/CAZ-CRZ-
145 PM MST Wed Jul 17 2024

.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.....................Mostly clear.
* Min Temperature.................83-93.
*    24 hr trend..................Little change.
* Max Humidity....................32-41 pct.
*    24 hr trend..................5 pct drier.
* Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southwest 5 to 15 mph.
* Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southeast 5 to 15 mph.
* Chance of Precip................10 percent.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent.
* LAL.............................1.

.THURSDAY...
* Sky/weather.....................Mostly sunny.
* Max Temperature.................107-112.
*    24 hr trend..................3 degrees warmer.
* Min Humidity....................15-19 pct.
*    24 hr trend..................Little RH change.
* Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southwest 5 to 15 mph.
* Winds...10000 FT MSL............East 5 to 15 mph in the morning
  becoming light and variable in the afternoon.
* Chance of Precip................10 percent.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent.
* LAL.............................1.
* Haines High Level Index.........3 very low potential for large
  plume dominated fire growth.
* Mixing Height for Phoenix.......10900 ft AGL.
* Transport Wind for Phoenix......West 5 knots.
* Dispersion for Phoenix..........Good.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.....................Mostly clear. Slight chance of
  showers and thunderstorms.
* Min Temperature.................84-94.
*    24 hr trend..................Little change.
* Max Humidity....................35-44 pct.
*    24 hr trend..................Little RH change.
* Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southwest 5 to 15 mph.
* Winds...10000 FT MSL............Light and variable in the evening
  becoming east 5 to 15 mph after midnight.
* Chance of Precip................20 percent.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent.
* LAL.............................2.

.FRIDAY...
* Sky/weather.....................Mostly sunny. Slight chance of
  showers in the afternoon.
* Max Temperature.................109-114.
*    24 hr trend..................Little change.
* Min Humidity....................14-19 pct.
*    24 hr trend..................Little RH change.
* Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 10 mph in the morning
  becoming west in the afternoon.
* Winds...10000 FT MSL............East 5 to 15 mph in the morning
  becoming light and variable in the afternoon.
* Chance of Precip................10 percent.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent.
* LAL.............................1.
* Haines High Level Index.........3 very low potential for large
  plume dominated fire growth.
* Mixing Height for Phoenix.......10000 ft AGL.
* Transport Wind for Phoenix......Northwest 5 knots.
* Dispersion for Phoenix..........Fair.


.EXTENDED...
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear with slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 85-95. Highs 109-115. Southwest winds 5 to
15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy with slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 83-93. Highs 107-113. Southwest winds 5 to
15 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of showers and slight chance
of thunderstorms. Lows 82-92. Highs 106-112. South winds 5 to
15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of showers and slight chance
of thunderstorms. Lows 82-92. Highs 105-111.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy with slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 84-94. Highs 106-112.

$$

AZZ131-CAZ231-180845-
Yuma/Martinez Lake and Vicinity/Lower Colorado River Valley AZ-
Lower Colorado River Valley CA-
145 PM MST Wed Jul 17 2024 /145 PM PDT Wed Jul 17 2024/

.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.....................Mostly clear.
* Min Temperature.................83-88.
*    24 hr trend..................Little change.
* Max Humidity....................35-47 pct.
*    24 hr trend..................4 pct drier.
* Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 15 mph.
* Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southeast 10 to 15 mph.
* Chance of Precip................0 percent.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent.
* LAL.............................1.

.THURSDAY...
* Sky/weather.....................Mostly sunny.
* Max Temperature.................108-113.
*    24 hr trend..................Little change.
* Min Humidity....................18-22 pct.
*    24 hr trend..................Little RH change.
* Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 15 mph.
* Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southeast 10 to 20 mph.
* Chance of Precip................10 percent.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent.
* LAL.............................1.
* Haines High Level Index.........3 very low potential for large
  plume dominated fire growth.
* Mixing Height for Yuma..........7000 ft AGL.
* Transport Wind for Yuma.........South 9 knots.
* Dispersion for Yuma.............Good.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.....................Mostly clear.
* Min Temperature.................85-90.
*    24 hr trend..................Little change.
* Max Humidity....................36-47 pct.
*    24 hr trend..................Little RH change.
* Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 15 mph.
* Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southeast 10 to 20 mph.
* Chance of Precip................0 percent.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent.
* LAL.............................1.

.FRIDAY...
* Sky/weather.....................Mostly sunny.
* Max Temperature.................110-115.
*    24 hr trend..................Little change.
* Min Humidity....................15-19 pct.
*    24 hr trend..................Little RH change.
* Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southwest 5 to 15 mph.
* Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southeast 5 to 15 mph in the
  morning becoming light and variable in the afternoon.
* Chance of Precip................10 percent.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent.
* LAL.............................1.
* Haines High Level Index.........3 very low potential for large
  plume dominated fire growth.
* Mixing Height for Yuma..........10600 ft AGL.
* Transport Wind for Yuma.........Southwest 8 knots.
* Dispersion for Yuma.............Good.


.EXTENDED...
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 85-90. Highs 112-117. Southwest
winds 5 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 85-90. Highs 110-115. South winds
5 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear with slight chance of showers. Lows 85-90.
Highs 108-113. South winds 5 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear with slight chance of showers. Lows
85-90. Highs 108-113.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear with slight chance of showers. Lows
85-90. Highs 109-114.

$$

AZZ133-180845-
Southern Gila County/Tonto National Forest Foothills-
Southern Tonto NF/West San Carlos BIA/South Portion Ft Apache BIA/
CAZ-
145 PM MST Wed Jul 17 2024

.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.....................Partly cloudy. Slight chance of
  showers and thunderstorms.
* Min Temperature.................69-85.
*    24 hr trend..................3 degrees warmer.
* Max Humidity....................38-52 pct.
*    24 hr trend..................10 pct drier.
* Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..North 5 to 15 mph.
* Winds...10000 FT MSL............Light and variable.
* Chance of Precip................30 percent.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent.
* LAL.............................2.

.THURSDAY...
* Sky/weather.....................Partly sunny. Chance of showers
  and thunderstorms in the afternoon.
* Max Temperature.................93-109.
*    24 hr trend..................Little change.
* Min Humidity....................16-23 pct.
*    24 hr trend..................Little RH change.
* Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southeast 5 to 10 mph in the
  morning becoming southwest in the afternoon.
* Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southeast 5 to 15 mph in the
  morning becoming light and variable in the afternoon.
* Chance of Precip................0 percent in the morning becoming
  40 percent in the afternoon.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent.
* LAL.............................1 in the morning becoming 3 in
  the afternoon.
* Haines High Level Index.........4 low potential for large plume
  dominated fire growth.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.....................Partly cloudy. Chance of showers
  and thunderstorms.
* Min Temperature.................68-85.
*    24 hr trend..................Little change.
* Max Humidity....................41-61 pct.
*    24 hr trend..................6 pct wetter.
* Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..North 5 to 10 mph in the evening
  becoming east after midnight.
* Winds...10000 FT MSL............Northwest 5 to 15 mph in the
  evening becoming north after midnight.
* Chance of Precip................60 percent.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................10 percent.
* LAL.............................3.

.FRIDAY...
* Sky/weather.....................Partly sunny. Chance of showers
  and thunderstorms in the afternoon.
* Max Temperature.................93-109.
*    24 hr trend..................Little change.
* Min Humidity....................18-27 pct.
*    24 hr trend..................3 pct wetter.
* Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southeast 5 to 10 mph in the
  morning becoming west in the afternoon.
* Winds...10000 FT MSL............North 10 to 15 mph.
* Chance of Precip................0 percent in the morning becoming
  50 percent in the afternoon.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent.
* LAL.............................1 in the morning becoming 3 in
  the afternoon.
* Haines High Level Index.........4 low potential for large plume
  dominated fire growth.


.EXTENDED...
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 67-86. Highs 94-109. Southeast winds 5 to
15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of thunderstorms and slight
chance of showers. Lows 66-85. Highs 91-107. Southeast winds 5 to
15 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of thunderstorms and slight
chance of showers. Lows 66-84. Highs 89-105. East winds 5 to
15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of thunderstorms and slight
chance of showers. Lows 66-85. Highs 89-105.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of thunderstorms and
slight chance of showers. Lows 66-85. Highs 91-106.

$$

CAZ232-180845-
Imperial County And Eastern Riverside County-
145 PM PDT Wed Jul 17 2024

.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.....................Mostly clear.
* Min Temperature.................83-89.
*    24 hr trend..................Little change.
* Max Humidity....................32-56 pct.
*    24 hr trend..................Little RH change.
* Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 15 mph.
* Winds...10000 FT MSL............Light and variable in the evening
  becoming southeast 10 to 20 mph after midnight.
* Chance of Precip................0 percent.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent.
* LAL.............................1.

.THURSDAY...
* Sky/weather.....................Mostly sunny. Slight chance of
  showers in the afternoon.
* Max Temperature.................103-113.
*    24 hr trend..................Little change.
* Min Humidity....................16-25 pct.
*    24 hr trend..................Little RH change.
* Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 15 mph.
* Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southeast 10 to 20 mph.
* Chance of Precip................0 percent in the morning becoming
  10 percent in the afternoon.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent.
* LAL.............................1.
* Haines High Level Index.........3 very low potential for large
  plume dominated fire growth.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.....................Mostly clear.
* Min Temperature.................85-91.
*    24 hr trend..................Little change.
* Max Humidity....................29-49 pct.
*    24 hr trend..................4 pct drier.
* Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southwest 5 to 15 mph.
* Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southeast 10 to 15 mph.
* Chance of Precip................0 percent.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent.
* LAL.............................1.

.FRIDAY...
* Sky/weather.....................Mostly sunny.
* Max Temperature.................106-115.
*    24 hr trend..................Little change.
* Min Humidity....................13-21 pct.
*    24 hr trend..................3 pct drier.
* Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southwest 5 to 15 mph.
* Winds...10000 FT MSL............South 10 to 20 mph.
* Chance of Precip................0 percent.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent.
* LAL.............................1.
* Haines High Level Index.........3 very low potential for large
  plume dominated fire growth.


.EXTENDED...
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 85-92. Highs 107-117. Southwest
winds 5 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 84-91. Highs 105-115. South winds
5 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 84-91. Highs 105-114. South winds
5 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear with slight chance of showers. Lows
85-91. Highs 104-113.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear with slight chance of showers. Lows
85-92. Highs 105-115.

$$

CAZ230-180845-
Joshua Tree National Park-
145 PM PDT Wed Jul 17 2024

.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.....................Mostly clear.
* Min Temperature.................75-86.
*    24 hr trend..................Little change.
* Max Humidity....................30-40 pct.
*    24 hr trend..................5 pct wetter.
* Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southwest 5 to 15 mph.
* Winds...10000 FT MSL............Light and variable in the evening
  becoming southeast 10 to 20 mph after midnight.
* Chance of Precip................10 percent.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent.
* LAL.............................1.

.THURSDAY...
* Sky/weather.....................Mostly sunny. Slight chance of
  showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon.
* Max Temperature.................93-108.
*    24 hr trend..................Little change.
* Min Humidity....................16-25 pct.
*    24 hr trend..................3 pct wetter.
* Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 15 mph.
* Winds...10000 FT MSL............South 10 to 20 mph.
* Chance of Precip................0 percent in the morning becoming
  20 percent in the afternoon.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent.
* LAL.............................1 in the morning becoming 2 in
  the afternoon.
* Haines High Level Index.........3 very low potential for large
  plume dominated fire growth.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.....................Mostly clear.
* Min Temperature.................75-87.
*    24 hr trend..................Little change.
* Max Humidity....................29-37 pct.
*    24 hr trend..................Little RH change.
* Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..West 5 to 15 mph.
* Winds...10000 FT MSL............South 10 to 15 mph.
* Chance of Precip................10 percent.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent.
* LAL.............................1.

.FRIDAY...
* Sky/weather.....................Mostly sunny.
* Max Temperature.................96-110.
*    24 hr trend..................Little change.
* Min Humidity....................14-20 pct.
*    24 hr trend..................3 pct drier.
* Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..West 5 to 10 mph in the morning
  becoming southwest 5 to 15 mph in the afternoon.
* Winds...10000 FT MSL............South 10 to 20 mph.
* Chance of Precip................10 percent.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent.
* LAL.............................1.
* Haines High Level Index.........3 very low potential for large
  plume dominated fire growth.


.EXTENDED...
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 76-88. Highs 98-112. West winds
5 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 75-88. Highs 97-111. Southwest winds
5 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 75-88. Highs 96-110. Southwest winds
5 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear with slight chance of showers. Lows
76-88. Highs 95-109.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear with slight chance of showers. Lows
76-89. Highs 96-110.

$$

.8 TO 10 DAY OUTLOOK...Thursday July 25th through Saturday July
27th: Above normal temperatures and near median precipitation.